Kitakyushu vs Iwaki Prediction - September 2, 2026

J-League CupJapanFull time
Kitakyushu
1:0
Iwaki
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.36Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.08price falling, opened at 3.31
Draw3.70price rising, opened at 3.36
Away2.18price rising, opened at 2.11

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.30
Under 1.53.72price rising, opened at 2.97
Over 2.51.90price falling, opened at 2.08
Under 2.51.90price rising, opened at 1.71
Over 3.53.17price falling, opened at 3.70
Under 3.51.35price rising, opened at 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes1.70price falling, opened at 1.83
No2.15price rising, opened at 1.87
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.90price rising, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Away -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Iwaki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kitakyushu are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Kitakyushu and Iwaki average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.1%Projected
  2. 1-28.7%Alternative
  3. 2-18.0%
  4. 0-17.7%
  5. 1-07.1%

Top five combined: 42.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKitakyushuxG1.44
AwayIwakixG1.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.9%
7.1%
5.1%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
7.7%
11%
8.0%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.0%
8.7%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
3.2%
4.6%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.5%39.5% No
Over 1.5 80.3%19.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.9%42.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.5%64.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kitakyushu win and over 2.5 goals23.0%
Kitakyushu win and both teams score19.3%
Iwaki win and over 2.5 goals26.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kitakyushu or draw59.4%
Iwaki or draw64.8%
Either team wins75.8%
Draw no bet: Kitakyushu46.5%
Draw no bet: Iwaki53.5%
Kitakyushu win to nil15.9%
Iwaki win to nil18.7%
Team goals
Kitakyushu to score76.4%
Iwaki to score79.1%
Kitakyushu over 1.5 goals42.4%
Iwaki over 1.5 goals46.4%
Kitakyushu clean sheet20.9%
Iwaki clean sheet23.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Kitakyushu vs Iwaki