JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction - September 2, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
JEF United Chiba
1:2
Fagiano Okayama
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.75price falling, opened at 3.86
Draw3.44price falling, opened at 3.46
Away2.02price rising, opened at 1.98

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price rising, opened at 1.29
Under 1.53.22price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.52.13price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.79
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.30
Under 3.51.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price rising, opened at 1.81
No1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +0.252.07
Away -0.251.75price rising, opened at 1.64

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fagiano Okayama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • JEF United Chiba and Fagiano Okayama average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.6%Projected
  2. 0-111.1%Alternative
  3. 1-08.9%
  4. 1-28.9%
  5. 0-07.8%

Top five combined: 49.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeJEF United ChibaxG1.13
AwayFagiano OkayamaxG1.41
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
8.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
11%
13%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
2
7.8%
8.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
3
3.7%
4.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.3%48.7% No
Over 1.5 72.2%27.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.8%53.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.2%74.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

JEF United Chiba win and over 2.5 goals16.3%
JEF United Chiba win and both teams score13.7%
Fagiano Okayama win and over 2.5 goals24.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
JEF United Chiba or draw56.7%
Fagiano Okayama or draw69.7%
Either team wins73.6%
Draw no bet: JEF United Chiba41.1%
Draw no bet: Fagiano Okayama58.9%
JEF United Chiba win to nil16.5%
Fagiano Okayama win to nil24.3%
Team goals
JEF United Chiba to score67.8%
Fagiano Okayama to score75.6%
JEF United Chiba over 1.5 goals31.3%
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals41.2%
JEF United Chiba clean sheet24.4%
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet32.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Confirmed formations

JEF United Chiba: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Fagiano Okayama: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110