Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction - September 2, 2026

USL League OneUSAFull time
Charlotte Independence
3:2
Portland Hearts of Pine
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.42Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.38
Draw4.75price falling, opened at 4.80
Away6.01price rising, opened at 5.95

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06price rising, opened at 1.05
Under 1.56.25price falling, opened at 6.40
Over 2.51.31price rising, opened at 1.30
Under 2.52.92price falling, opened at 2.97
Over 3.51.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Under 3.51.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Both teams to score
Yes1.47price rising, opened at 1.45
No2.44price falling, opened at 2.50
Odd/Even
Odd1.82
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -1.251.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Away +1.251.83price rising, opened at 1.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Charlotte Independence are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Charlotte Independence and Portland Hearts of Pine average 4.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.3%Projected
  2. 3-17.2%
  3. 1-16.4%
  4. 2-26.4%Alternative
  5. 3-25.5%

Top five combined: 33.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCharlotte IndependencexG2.60
AwayPortland Hearts of PinexG1.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.6%
4.2%
5.4%
4.7%
3.1%
1.6%
1.1%
1
2.5%
6.4%
8.3%
7.2%
4.7%
2.4%
1.6%
2
1.9%
4.9%
6.4%
5.5%
3.6%
1.9%
1.2%
3
1.0%
2.5%
3.2%
2.8%
1.8%
1.0%
0.6%
4
0.4%
1.0%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 72.5%27.5% No
Over 1.5 91.8%8.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 78.0%22.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 59.2%40.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Charlotte Independence win and over 2.5 goals51.0%
Charlotte Independence win and both teams score40.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine win and over 2.5 goals17.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Charlotte Independence or draw78.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine or draw39.4%
Either team wins82.0%
Draw no bet: Charlotte Independence73.9%
Draw no bet: Portland Hearts of Pine26.1%
Charlotte Independence win to nil20.0%
Portland Hearts of Pine win to nil5.8%
Team goals
Charlotte Independence to score92.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine to score78.4%
Charlotte Independence over 1.5 goals73.3%
Portland Hearts of Pine over 1.5 goals45.2%
Charlotte Independence clean sheet21.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine clean sheet7.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine
Head to Head

Head to Head

Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 30, 2025Portland Hearts of Pine4 - 2Charlotte Independence
July 19, 2025Charlotte Independence1 - 1Portland Hearts of Pine
League Table

League Table

USL League OneUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12315445329+2449
22414464127+1446
32313464325+1843
42211653725+1239
52112273227+538
62311573633+338
72211294135+635
8228773025+531
9237972832-430
10247893134-329
112382132739-1226
122365123435-123
132265112735-823
142458113342-923
152365122336-1323
162355132544-1920
172355132143-2220
1800000000
USL League One - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Charlotte Independence23154453292449WWLLD
2Union Omaha24144641271446WWDWL
3Forward Madison23134643251843WWWWW
4One Knoxville22116537251239LLLWW
5Spokane Velocity2112273227538WWWLL
6Boise2311573633338DLWWW
7Chattanooga Red Wolves2211294135635LWWWL
8Fort Wayne228773025531LLWLW
9Corpus Christi237972832-430DWDWL
10Alta247893134-329LDWLD
11Naples2382132739-1226LLLLL
12Westchester SC2365123435-123LDWDL
13Greenville Triumph2265112735-823DWLLD
14Portland Hearts of Pine2458113342-923DLLWW
15Sarasota Paradise2365122336-1323DDLWL
16NY Cosmos2355132544-1920LLDWL
17Richmond Kickers2355132143-2220WLLLD
18Tormenta00000000