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Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction - 2 September 2026

ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.32Won

73%
Correct score
1-1
Alternative
0-1

Form

Burnley
  1. L 1-4
  2. D 0-0
  3. L 1-3
  4. D 2-2
  5. D 1-1
Middlesbrough
  1. W 3-1
  2. W 3-1
  3. L 1-2
  4. W 2-1
  5. W 1-0

Bookmaker odds

1Home
2.83
XDraw
3.56
2Away
2.31
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13
Under 1.54.55
Over 2.51.58
Under 2.52.33
Over 3.52.32
Under 3.51.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.47
No2.50
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.81
Handicap
Home +0.251.74
Away -0.251.93
Methodology
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Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Under 3.5 goals is the pick in Burnley vs Middlesbrough on 2 September, priced at 1.32 and rated 73 percent by Superior's model. Burnley have won only once in five matches and Middlesbrough three times in their own five, but neither side has strayed far from one and two-goal margins across that run.

Burnley have taken one win from their last five

Burnley's recent run reads a 4-1 defeat at Norwich, a 3-1 loss at West Brom and a 2-2 home draw with West Ham, one win in five against Notts County and only two goals scored across their two heaviest defeats combined. Middlesbrough have won three of five, including a 3-1 win over West Brom, the same side Burnley also lost to, and their matches have mostly settled on a single goal either way rather than a flood.

Both sides have already been part of four-goal matches

The way this line gets beaten is a repeat of Burnley's 4-1 defeat at Norwich, four goals inside ninety minutes against a mid-table Championship side. Burnley have shipped seven goals across their last two matches alone, and if that shakier form resurfaces rather than the tighter one-goal games both clubs have also produced recently, the total clears 3.5 on its own.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.32
  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.90
  • Correct score: 1-1Won5.95
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.5%Our score
  2. 0-19.5%Alternative
  3. 1-09.5%
  4. 1-28.2%
  5. 2-18.2%

Top five combined: 47.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBurnleyxG1.31
AwayMiddlesbroughxG1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.3%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.5%
12%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.3%
8.2%
5.4%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.3%46.7% No
Over 1.5 73.6%26.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.6%51.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.8%73.2% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Middlesbrough win and over 2.5 goals21.1%
  2. Burnley win and over 2.5 goals21.0%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals19.8%
  4. Burnley win and both teams score17.1%
BurnleyMiddlesbrough
Outcome markets
Win or draw63.1%63.2%
Draw no bet49.9%50.1%
Win to nil19.7%19.7%
Either team wins73.7%
Team goals
To score73.0%73.0%
Over 1.5 goals37.6%37.7%
Clean sheet27.0%27.0%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Burnley vs Middlesbrough
League table

League table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Middlesbrough
127412717+1025
2
Swansea
11722168+823
3
West Ham
116413012+1822
4
Birmingham
115512011+920
5
West Brom
116231512+320
6
Stoke City
116141816+219
7
Wolves
115331916+318
8
Southampton
116322110+1117
9
QPR
114521512+317
10
Blackburn
114341716+115
11
Sheffield United
114341514+115
12
Millwall
114341818015
13
Portsmouth
114341414015
14
Wrexham
113531516-114
15
Bristol City
114251215-314
16
Charlton
113531015-514
17
Bolton
124261623-714
18
Lincoln
11335919-1012
19
Cardiff
112541817+111
20
Watford
113261019-911
21
Norwich
113081721-49
22
Burnley
111551621-58
23
Derby
11137920-116
24
Preston
11119924-154
Relegation
Championship - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Middlesbrough1274127171025
2Swansea11722168823
3West Ham1164130121822
4Birmingham115512011920
5West Brom116231512320
6Stoke City116141816219
7Wolves115331916318
8Southampton1163221101117
9QPR114521512317
10Blackburn114341716115
11Sheffield United114341514115
12Millwall114341818015
13Portsmouth114341414015
14Wrexham113531516-114
15Bristol City114251215-314
16Charlton113531015-514
17Bolton124261623-714
18Lincoln11335919-1012
19Cardiff112541817111
20Watford113261019-911
21Norwich113081721-49
22Burnley111551621-58
23Derby11137920-116
24Preston11119924-154