Puebla vs Atlante FC Prediction - September 19, 2026

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.27

Draw3.30

Away2.81

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.24

Under 1.53.35

Over 2.51.75

Under 2.51.87

Over 3.52.85

Under 3.51.32

Both teams to score

Yes1.63

No2.07

Odd/Even

Odd1.90

Even1.80

First to score

Home1.82

No goal8.30

Away2.04

Handicap

Home -0.251.95

Away +0.251.75

Corners

Over 9.51.80

Under 9.51.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Puebla vs Atlante FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Puebla are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 16, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Puebla take on a winless Atlante FC on 19 September, and Superior's model projects a 1-1 draw despite Puebla averaging 1.8 goals a game against Atlante's 0.4. Atlante's away form has produced two goals across their last five matches combined, the number working against a higher scoreline for the home side.

Atlante's attack rating is well ahead of what they've actually scored

Atlante have taken one point from a possible fifteen in their last five outings, with three defeats and two low-scoring draws, yet Superior rates their attack at 7.5 against Puebla's 6.4 defence rating. That gap between rating and output is unusual, and it means the model still credits Atlante with more scoring threat than their recent results show. Puebla have won three of five including two matches with three goals apiece.

Puebla's own defence has leaked five goals in two matches

Puebla have conceded five goals across their last two matches, including a 2-3 defeat, an opening Atlante's away form has failed to punish so far this season. A repeat of that lapse, even against a blunt Atlante attack on paper, is what turns the projected 1-1 into something worse for the home side.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.3%Our score
0-110.4%Alternative
1-28.8%
1-08.6%
0-07.8%

Top five combined: 47.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePueblaxG1.16

AwayAtlante FCxG1.37

7.8%

8.6%

5.1%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

10%

12%

7.2%

2.8%

0.9%

0.2%

<0.1%

7.2%

8.8%

5.2%

2.2%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

3.6%

4.1%

2.6%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

1.4%

1.6%

0.9%

0.4%

<0.1%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 52.5%47.5% No

Over 1.5 73.3%26.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 48.7%51.3% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.1%72.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Puebla win and over 2.5 goals17.5%

Puebla win and both teams score14.5%

Atlante FC win and over 2.5 goals24.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals20.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Puebla or draw57.5%

Atlante FC or draw68.9%

Either team wins73.6%

Draw no bet: Puebla42.3%

Draw no bet: Atlante FC57.7%

Puebla win to nil16.6%

Atlante FC win to nil23.2%

Team goals

Puebla to score69.1%

Atlante FC to score75.6%

Puebla over 1.5 goals33.2%

Atlante FC over 1.5 goals41.8%

Puebla clean sheet24.4%

Atlante FC clean sheet30.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Puebla: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Puebla vs Atlante FC

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	8	6	1	1	18	6	+12	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
6	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
7	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
8	Club Queretaro	7	4	1	2	10	7	+3	13
9	Leon	8	4	1	3	11	9	+2	13
10	Club Tijuana	7	4	1	2	10	8	+2	13
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
12	CF Pachuca	8	3	2	3	13	8	+5	11
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	8	1	1	6	6	13	-7	4
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Liga MX - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Toluca	8	6	1	1	18	6	12	19	WLW
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	9	18	DWL
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	9	17	WDW
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	1	15	LWW
5	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14	DLW
6	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14	LWW
7	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	4	13	WLW
8	Club Queretaro	7	4	1	2	10	7	3	13	WWL
9	Leon	8	4	1	3	11	9	2	13	WLL
10	Club Tijuana	7	4	1	2	10	8	2	13	DWW
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12	WWL
12	CF Pachuca	8	3	2	3	13	8	5	11	LLW
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9	DDL
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8	WDL
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8	LWW
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7	LDL
17	Santos Laguna	8	1	1	6	6	13	-7	4	LLL
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3	LLL

Puebla vs Atlante FC Prediction - September 19, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Puebla vs Atlante FC?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Atlante's attack rating is well ahead of what they've actually scored

Puebla's own defence has leaked five goals in two matches

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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Expected formations

League Table