Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction - September 19, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Atletico San Luis
3:1
Necaxa
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.11price falling, opened at 2.27
Draw3.48price rising, opened at 3.30
Away3.15price rising, opened at 2.98

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.17price falling, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.96price rising, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.77
Under 2.52.09price rising, opened at 1.97
Over 3.52.59price falling, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.39price rising, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price falling, opened at 1.61
No2.28price rising, opened at 2.18
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price falling, opened at 1.89
Even1.83price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.82price falling, opened at 1.93
Away +0.251.89price rising, opened at 1.79

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atletico San Luis are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Atletico San Luis and Necaxa average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.6%Our score
  2. 2-19.7%Alternative
  3. 1-09.4%
  4. 2-07.6%
  5. 1-27.0%

Top five combined: 45.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico San LuisxG1.69
AwayNecaxaxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
9.4%
7.6%
4.3%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.8%
12%
9.7%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
0.3%
2
4.0%
7.0%
5.9%
3.4%
1.2%
0.4%
0.2%
3
1.7%
2.6%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.6%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.2%42.8% No
Over 1.5 78.2%21.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 55.0%45.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.4%67.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico San Luis win and over 2.5 goals30.8%
Atletico San Luis win and both teams score23.9%
Necaxa win and over 2.5 goals16.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atletico San Luis or draw72.4%
Necaxa or draw52.2%
Either team wins75.4%
Draw no bet: Atletico San Luis63.4%
Draw no bet: Necaxa36.6%
Atletico San Luis win to nil23.9%
Necaxa win to nil13.2%
Team goals
Atletico San Luis to score81.1%
Necaxa to score70.4%
Atletico San Luis over 1.5 goals49.5%
Necaxa over 1.5 goals34.2%
Atletico San Luis clean sheet29.6%
Necaxa clean sheet18.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Necaxa: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 7, 2026Necaxa4 - 1Atletico San Luis
October 27, 2025Atletico San Luis3 - 4Necaxa
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
18611186+1219
29531178+918
38521178+917
495041615+115
594231111014
694231315-214
784131410+413
87412107+313
98413119+213
107412108+213
1193331213-112
128323138+511
1392341116-59
149153813-58
1592251016-68
169144913-47
178116613-74
189108623-173
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Toluca86111861219WLW
2Guadalajara Chivas9531178918DWL
3Club America8521178917WDW
4Cruz Azul95041615115LWW
5Puebla94231111014DLW
6Atlas94231315-214LWW
7Monterrey84131410413WLW
8Club Queretaro7412107313WWL
9Leon8413119213WLL
10Club Tijuana7412108213DWW
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas93331213-112WWL
12CF Pachuca8323138511LLW
13Atletico San Luis92341116-59DDL
14Atlante FC9153813-58WDL
15Necaxa92251016-68LWW
16Tigres UANL9144913-47LDL
17Santos Laguna8116613-74LLL
18FC Juarez9108623-173LLL