Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction - 18 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.30Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Sassuolo · last 5 games
Form
- L 2-3
- D 1-1
- W 1-0
- L 2-3
- L 1-4
- W 3-2
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- L 1-2
Match analysis
Four of Monza's last five matches have produced three or more total goals, and that scoring pattern underpins Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick against Sassuolo at 1.30 on 18 September. The model prices the total at 76 percent, with Sassuolo having scored in every one of their own last five games too.
Four of Monza's last five matches passed three total goals
Only one of those five, a 1-0 win, stayed under the two-goal mark this line needs, and Monza have conceded eleven goals in that run on top of scoring seven themselves. Sassuolo have scored in all five of their last matches, including three with two or more goals of their own, which backs the total from both ends rather than relying on just one leaky defense.
Monza's only win this run was built on defense, not goals
That result shows Monza are capable of the low-scoring, controlled performance this line needs to fail, especially if Sassuolo's away form, a win and a loss in their last two road trips, produces a similarly cautious game. If both defenses have a rare good night at the same time, the total stalls below 1.5 despite the scoring form both sides carry into this fixture.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.5%Our score
- 1-09.1%
- 2-18.9%Alternative
- 0-18.3%
- 1-28.1%
Top five combined: 46.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Monza win and over 2.5 goals23.7%
- Sassuolo win and over 2.5 goals20.4%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals19.4%
- Monza win and both teams score19.2%
| Monza | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.0% | 60.7% |
| Draw no bet | 53.6% | 46.4% |
| Win to nil | 20.0% | 17.2% |
| Either team wins | 73.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 75.8% | 73.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41.6% | 37.5% |
| Clean sheet | 27.0% | 24.2% |
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.75League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +15 | 25 | |
| 2 | 9 | +15 | 25 | |
| 3 | 9 | +15 | 21 | |
| 4 | 9 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 9 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 9 | +8 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | +6 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | -5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | -9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | -9 | 5 | |
| 18 | 9 | -10 | 5 | |
| 19 | 9 | -10 | 5 | |
| 20 | 9 | -13 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 | |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 25 | |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 21 | |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 | |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| 6 | Frosinone | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 17 | |
| 7 | Napoli | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 14 | |
| 8 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 | |
| 9 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 | |
| 10 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 | |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Genoa | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | Lecce | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 | |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | Monza | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 | |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 5 | |
| 19 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 | |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 3 |