FC Orenburg vs FC Krasnodar Prediction - 17 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.31Won
- Correct score
- 0-1
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5FC Krasnodar · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-1
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- W 4-1
- D 1-1
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
Head to head
- 17 May 2026 FC Krasnodar 3 FC Orenburg 0 Premier League
- 26 Nov 2025 FC Krasnodar 4 FC Orenburg 0 Cup
- 5 Nov 2025 FC Orenburg 1 FC Krasnodar 3 Cup
Match analysis
Five meetings between Orenburg and Krasnodar have produced three finishes under 3.5 goals, and that history sits behind Superior's Under 3.5 pick at 1.31 for their Russian Premier League meeting on 17 September, rated 57 percent. Orenburg are averaging just 1.4 goals a game at home against a Krasnodar side scoring 1.2 on the road.
Three of the last five meetings already stayed under this line
Orenburg have lost all five of their meetings with Krasnodar, but three of those five games finished with three or fewer total goals: 0-3, 0-1 and 1-2. Add in that Orenburg are averaging 1.4 goals a game at home and Krasnodar 1.2 on the road, a combined rate of 2.6, and the model's read on a contained scoreline lines up with what these two sides have actually produced together.
The other two meetings both broke four goals
The two meetings that did not stay under this line, a 0-4 and a 1-3, both went to Krasnodar by more than a two goal margin, exactly the kind of game where their attack pulls away from a struggling Orenburg side. Orenburg have not beaten Krasnodar in any of these matches, and if the gap in quality shows up as goals rather than a controlled scoreline, the total clears 3.5.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 0-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 0-112.2%Our score
- 1-111.5%Alternative
- 0-29.9%
- 1-29.3%
- 0-07.6%
Top five combined: 50.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- FC Krasnodar win and over 2.5 goals30.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals19.1%
- FC Orenburg win and over 2.5 goals12.4%
- FC Orenburg win and both teams score10.5%
| FC Orenburg | FC Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 47.3% | 77.2% |
| Draw no bet | 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Win to nil | 12.2% | 31.0% |
| Either team wins | 75.5% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 61.4% | 80.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 25.7% | 48.2% |
| Clean sheet | 19.8% | 38.6% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +7 | 25 | ||
| 2 | 11 | +12 | 24 | ||
| 3 | 11 | +13 | 23 | ||
| 4 | 11 | +7 | 22 | ||
| 5 | 11 | +6 | 22 | ||
| 6 | 12 | +2 | 16 | ||
| 7 | 12 | 0 | 15 | ||
| 8 | 11 | -5 | 13 | ||
| 9 | 11 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 10 | 11 | -6 | 12 | ||
| 11 | 12 | -6 | 12 | ||
| 12 | 12 | -6 | 12 | ||
| 13 | 11 | +2 | 11 | ||
| 14 | 12 | -2 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 12 | -14 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 12 | -12 | 6 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 25 | |
| 2 | Zenit | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 | WW |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 23 | WW |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 | DW |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 22 | WW |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 | LW |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 | DD |
| 8 | Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 13 | |
| 9 | Baltika | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 | WL |
| 10 | FC Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 12 | WL |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | WL |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 | LL |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 11 | LD |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 | LD |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 | LL |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 | LL |