PAOK vs Aris Thessaloniki Prediction - September 13, 2026
Alternative:2-0
Match Winner: Home1.61
What is the prediction for PAOK vs Aris Thessaloniki?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Aris Thessaloniki are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Aris Thessaloniki arrive at PAOK on 13 September off a 5-0 collapse at AEK Athens, despite winning three of their other four matches this run. That fragility underpins Superior's 1.61 price on a PAOK win, a pick rated 65 percent.
Aris shipped five without reply at AEK four days ago
Aris' underlying form is stronger than that scoreline suggests, with three wins in their other four matches this run, but the 5-0 defeat at AEK Athens is the most recent evidence of how exposed their defence gets against a good home side. PAOK have scored 1.8 goals a game themselves, including a 4-0 home win over Levadiakos on 23 August, giving them enough attacking output to turn a competitive match into three points even without dominating it.
PAOK have lost two of their last five
PAOK are not a safe favourite in the way that heading suggests. They lost 1-3 away at Panathinaikos and 2-3 at Brann inside this same run, both defeats coming after conceding an early lead. Aris have scored in three of their last four fixtures, and if they replicate that output rather than the AEK collapse, a draw or an away win becomes realistic rather than a footnote to the home win Superior has priced.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +6 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +9 | 7 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 2 | +4 | 6 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 3 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 8 | 3 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -2 | 2 | ||
| 10 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 11 | 2 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 12 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -5 | 0 | ||
| 14 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panetolikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 9 | |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 | |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 5 | PAOK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Aris Thessaloniki | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 6 | |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 9 | Volos NFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | |
| 10 | Atromitos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 11 | Kifisia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 12 | Kalamata | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 | |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 |