Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - September 12, 2026

Serie ABrazil
Coritiba
vs
Atletico Paranaense
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22

Bookmaker odds

Home2.98price falling, opened at 3.02
Draw3.12price rising, opened at 3.10
Away2.52price rising, opened at 2.50

Market move since Sep 9. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

The full market board is part of Premium, and free once this match finishes.What Premium includes

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Coritiba are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-7Methodology

Match analysis

Three of the last four meetings between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have finished 1-0 or 0-0, and that pattern backs Superior's Under 3.5 pick for the Parana derby on 12 September, priced at 1.22 and read at 76 percent. Both sides' own scoring rates sit close to the line rather than clear of it.

Three of the last four derbies have finished 1-0 or 0-0

Coritiba have won two of the last four meetings 1-0 and drawn another 0-0, with only a 2-0 loss breaking the pattern of tight scorelines in this rivalry. Both teams' own averages sit close to the 3.5 line rather than clear of it, 1.8 goals a game for Coritiba and 2.0 for Atletico Paranaense, and derbies tend to play tighter than the raw numbers suggest.

Atletico Paranaense have found ten goals on the road

The counterweight is Atletico Paranaense's attack, which has found ten goals across its last five matches including a 3-2 win on the road. This loses if the sides combine for four goals or more, and an away side scoring at that rate is the clearest route past a home defence that has also shipped seven in the same span.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Atletico Paranaense: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense
Head to Head

Head to Head

Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 22, 2026Atletico Paranaense2 - 0Coritiba
January 17, 2026Atletico Paranaense0 - 1Coritiba
October 19, 2025Coritiba0 - 0Atletico Paranaense
June 28, 2025Atletico Paranaense0 - 1Coritiba
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12616645121+3054
22615834521+2453
32613673828+1045
42612954032+845
526111054032+843
62612683837+142
7218672730-330
72610793435-137
82510693230+236
925105103128+335
102596103128+333
11268992726+133
12258893738-132
132587103740-331
142585122437-1329
152477102732-528
162677122940-1128
172567122740-1325
1826510112834-625
192658133043-1323
202529142650-2415
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Flamengo26166451213054DDWWL
2Palmeiras26158345212453WLWWW
3Atletico Paranaense26136738281045DWWWW
4Fluminense2612954032845DDDDL
5Bahia26111054032843DDDWW
6Cruzeiro FC2612683837142
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Coritiba2610793435-137LDLLW
8Atletico-MG2510693230236WDWLW
9RB Bragantino25105103128335DDWWW
10Sao Paulo2596103128333DLLDL
11Corinthians268992726133DDWWW
12Santos258893738-132DLWLL
13Botafogo2587103740-331WDWLD
14Vitoria2585122437-1329LLDWL
15Gremio2477102732-528DLLWD
16Mirassol2677122940-1128WDWLW
17Vasco DA Gama2567122740-1325DLLLL
18Internacional26510112834-625DLLLL
19Remo2658133043-1323LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2529142650-2415
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210