Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.22Lost

76%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 0-1
Under 3.5 goals: 4/5Coritiba · last 5 games

Form

Coritiba

L 1-2
W 3-2
W 2-1
D 1-1
W 2-1

Atletico Paranaense

L 1-3
D 3-3
W 3-2
D 1-1
W 2-0

Head to head

22 Mar 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2 Coritiba 0 Serie A
17 Jan 2026 Atletico Paranaense 0 Coritiba 1 Paranaense - 1
19 Oct 2025 Coritiba 0 Atletico Paranaense 0 Serie B

Bookmaker odds

3.20

3.02

2.44

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.39

Under 1.52.98

Over 2.52.32

Under 2.51.61

Over 3.54.34

Under 3.51.22

Both teams to score

Yes1.89

No1.92

Odd/Even

Odd2.02

Even1.74

Handicap

Home +0.251.73

Away -0.252.10

Methodology

Match analysis

Three of the last four meetings between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense have finished 1-0 or 0-0, and that pattern backs Superior's Under 3.5 pick for the Parana derby on 12 September, priced at 1.22 and read at 76 percent. Both sides' own scoring rates sit close to the line rather than clear of it.

Three of the last four derbies have finished 1-0 or 0-0

Coritiba have won two of the last four meetings 1-0 and drawn another 0-0, with only a 2-0 loss breaking the pattern of tight scorelines in this rivalry. Both teams' own averages sit close to the 3.5 line rather than clear of it, 1.8 goals a game for Coritiba and 2.0 for Atletico Paranaense, and derbies tend to play tighter than the raw numbers suggest.

Atletico Paranaense have found ten goals on the road

The counterweight is Atletico Paranaense's attack, which has found ten goals across its last five matches including a 3-2 win on the road. This loses if the sides combine for four goals or more, and an away side scoring at that rate is the clearest route past a home defence that has also shipped seven in the same span.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Lost1.22
Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.64
Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-112.9%Our score
0-110.5%Alternative
1-010.3%
0-08.4%
1-28.0%

Top five combined: 50.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCoritibaxG1.23

AwayAtletico ParanaensexG1.25

8.4%

10%

6.3%

2.6%

0.8%

0.2%

<0.1%

10%

13%

7.9%

3.2%

1.0%

0.2%

<0.1%

6.5%

8.0%

4.9%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

2.7%

3.3%

2.1%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.9%

1.0%

0.6%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 50.5%49.5% No

Over 1.5 70.8%29.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 45.1%54.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.8%76.2% Under 3.5

Combos

Draw and under 2.5 goals21.3%
Atletico Paranaense win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
Coritiba win and over 2.5 goals19.3%
Coritiba win and both teams score15.7%

Outcome markets
	Coritiba	Atletico Paranaense
Win or draw	63.1%	64.0%
Draw no bet	49.4%	50.6%
Win to nil	20.3%	20.9%
Either team wins	72.9%
Team goals
To score	70.8%	71.3%
Over 1.5 goals	34.8%	35.5%
Clean sheet	28.7%	29.2%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

Get free picks and the morning acca every day.Join

Formations

Confirmed formations

Coritiba: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Atletico Paranaense: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense

League table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56	22	+34	69
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	+36	67
3	Cruzeiro FC	32	16	6	10	51	46	+5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50	38	+12	54
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	+9	51
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	+7	50
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45	40	+5	50
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49	47	+2	46
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	+1	43
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39	38	+1	41
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44	51	-7	39
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39	45	-6	38
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35	46	-11	38
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37	45	-8	37
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36	40	-4	35
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34	42	-8	33
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	31
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34	50	-16	26
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32	63	-31	21

Relegation

Serie A - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Palmeiras	32	20	9	3	56	22	34	69	WLWWW
2	Flamengo	31	20	7	4	61	25	36	67	DDWWL
3	Cruzeiro FC	32	16	6	10	51	46	5	54
4	Atletico Paranaense	32	15	9	8	50	38	12	54	DWWWW
5	Fluminense	32	14	9	9	50	41	9	51	DDDDL
6	Atletico-MG	31	14	8	9	42	35	7	50	WDWLW
7	Bahia	32	13	11	8	45	40	5	50	DDDWW
8	Santos	32	12	10	10	49	47	2	46	DLWLL
9	Sao Paulo	32	12	7	13	37	36	1	43	DLLDL
10	RB Bragantino	32	11	8	13	39	38	1	41	DDWWW
11	Botafogo	32	10	9	13	44	51	-7	39	WDWLD
12	Coritiba	31	10	9	12	38	49	-11	39	LDLLW
13	Vasco DA Gama	31	10	8	13	39	45	-6	38	DLLLL
14	Vitoria	32	10	8	14	35	46	-11	38	LLDWL
15	Mirassol	32	9	10	13	37	45	-8	37	WDWLW
16	Internacional	32	8	11	13	36	40	-4	35	DLLLL
17	Corinthians	32	8	9	15	34	42	-8	33	DDWWW
18	Gremio	31	7	10	14	34	44	-10	31	DLLWD
19	Remo	32	5	11	16	34	50	-16	26	LWLWL
20	Chapecoense-sc	31	4	9	18	32	63	-31	21

Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction - 12 September 2026

Form

Head to head

Bookmaker odds

Match analysis

Three of the last four derbies have finished 1-0 or 0-0

Atletico Paranaense have found ten goals on the road

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

More Serie A predictions

Confirmed formations

League table