Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction - September 11, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.27
What is the prediction for Venezia vs Fiorentina?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Venezia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
A modest 55 percent read backs Over 1.5 goals when Venezia host Fiorentina in Serie A on 11 September, the thinnest edge on this line in the batch, priced at 1.27 with these two sides averaging under two goals a game combined.
A combined rate that barely clears the line
Venezia and Fiorentina are averaging a shade under two goals a game between them, which explains the modest 55 percent read, but Fiorentina's defence has still been breached in four of their last five, including three matches conceding three or more. Venezia's own attack has scored in three of their last five despite a rough run of results.
The quiet night that beats a thin edge
Fiorentina's one draw in this stretch finished 1-1, showing a low-scoring night is well within range for a side that has struggled all month, and if Venezia's attack goes cold at the same time, 0-0 or 1-0 beats this pick. With the model's own confidence this close to a coin flip, that risk is real rather than a footnote.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
2 selections at 1.93
See the ticketTelegram
Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.
Join free
Betting Offers
18+ or the legal age in your country. Some links on this page are affiliate links.
Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | Venezia | 2 - 1 | Fiorentina |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +9 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +5 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 2 | +2 | 6 | ||
| 8 | 3 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 2 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 14 | 2 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 3 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -5 | 0 | ||
| 19 | 3 | -6 | 0 | ||
| 20 | 3 | -8 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | |
| 2 | Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 4 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 6 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
| 8 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 9 | Udinese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | |
| 11 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 12 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | |
| 13 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 14 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | |
| 15 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 16 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | |
| 17 | Monza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | |
| 18 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 19 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 |