Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction - 11 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.27Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Venezia · last 5 games
Form
- L 2-3
- L 1-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-2
- W 3-2
- L 1-2
- L 0-3
- L 0-4
- L 1-4
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 12 May 2025 Venezia 2 Fiorentina 1 Serie A
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
A modest 55 percent read backs Over 1.5 goals when Venezia host Fiorentina in Serie A on 11 September, the thinnest edge on this line in the batch, priced at 1.27 with these two sides averaging under two goals a game combined.
A combined rate that barely clears the line
Venezia and Fiorentina are averaging a shade under two goals a game between them, which explains the modest 55 percent read, but Fiorentina's defence has still been breached in four of their last five, including three matches conceding three or more. Venezia's own attack has scored in three of their last five despite a rough run of results.
The quiet night that beats a thin edge
Fiorentina's one draw in this stretch finished 1-1, showing a low-scoring night is well within range for a side that has struggled all month, and if Venezia's attack goes cold at the same time, 0-0 or 1-0 beats this pick. With the model's own confidence this close to a coin flip, that risk is real rather than a footnote.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 2-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-19.1%Our score
- 2-18.7%Alternative
- 1-27.4%
- 2-27.0%
- 1-05.7%
Top five combined: 37.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Venezia win and over 2.5 goals33.7%
- Venezia win and both teams score27.9%
- Fiorentina win and over 2.5 goals24.5%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals12.1%
| Venezia | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.8% | 55.2% |
| Draw no bet | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Win to nil | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Either team wins | 78.0% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 85.0% | 80.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56.6% | 48.0% |
| Clean sheet | 19.9% | 15.0% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 7 | +12 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +13 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 6 | 7 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 | 8 | -10 | 4 | |
| 20 | 7 | -10 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 22 | |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 | |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 18 | |
| 4 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 17 | |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 | |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 11 | |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |