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Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction - 11 September 2026

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentinaFull time
Newells Old Boys
1-1
Velez Sarsfield

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.53Won

79%
Correct score
1-1
Alternative
1-2
Over 1.5 goals
4/5Newells Old Boys · last 5 games

Form

Newells Old Boys
  1. D 1-1
  2. D 0-0
  3. W 2-1
  4. W 2-0
  5. L 1-2
Velez Sarsfield
  1. W 1-0
  2. D 0-0
  3. D 1-1
  4. D 2-2
  5. D 1-1

Head to head

  1. 4 May 2026 Velez Sarsfield 1 Newells Old Boys 1 Primera Division

Bookmaker odds

1Home
2.69
XDraw
2.98
2Away
2.89
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.52
Under 1.52.50
Over 2.52.60
Under 2.51.49
Over 3.55.19
Under 3.51.16
Both teams to score
Yes2.03
No1.76
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.84
Away +01.96

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Newell's Old Boys are fighting relegation while Velez Sarsfield chase a continental qualification spot, and that gap in what is at stake is the backbone of Over 1.5 goals when the two meet on 11 September, a bet priced at 1.53 and rated 66 percent by Superior's model.

Two different fights, one open game

Newell's need goals and points to pull clear of the drop zone, and that urgency has produced a stretch of matches that rarely stay tight, including two wins by a scoreline that cleared this line comfortably. Velez arrive with their own incentive to keep pushing forward, sitting in the middle of the qualification picture with too much still to play for to sit back.

The goalless draw that would break it

Velez have drawn four of their last five without scoring more than once in three of those games, and a repeat of that pattern combined with a quiet night from Newell's would leave this at 0-0 or 1-0, the only two scorelines that beat Over 1.5. That mutual caution is the live risk here.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.53
  • Correct score: 1-1Won5.80
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 1-28.5%Alternative
  3. 2-18.3%
  4. 0-17.7%
  5. 1-07.6%

Top five combined: 43.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNewells Old BoysxG1.47
AwayVelez SarsfieldxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.2%
7.6%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
1
7.7%
11%
8.3%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
5.8%
8.5%
6.2%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.9%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.6%40.4% No
Over 1.5 79.4%20.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.7%43.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.3%65.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Velez Sarsfield win and over 2.5 goals24.7%
  2. Newells Old Boys win and over 2.5 goals24.0%
  3. Newells Old Boys win and both teams score19.9%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals16.6%
Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield
Outcome markets
Win or draw61.8%62.7%
Draw no bet49.4%50.6%
Win to nil17.4%17.8%
Either team wins75.5%
Team goals
To score76.9%77.4%
Over 1.5 goals43.1%43.8%
Clean sheet22.6%23.1%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield
League table

League table

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11610422915+1434
116943197+1231
2169252212+1029
216862229+1330
3167721812+628
3168531713+429
4168442016+428
4167541713+426
5167541713+426
5166642420+424
6166641815+324
6168261919026
7165741713+422
7165741414022
8165651715+221
8165652420+421
9166371717021
9165651515021
10164751821-319
10164841815+320
11166191320-719
11165471422-819
12165381719-218
12163761015-516
13163581520-514
13164481121-1016
14163671527-1215
1416088619-138
1516187512-711
15161213524-195
Liga Profesional Argentina - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Independ. Rivadavia16104229151434
1Estudiantes de La Plata169431971231
2River Plate1692522121029
2Boca Juniors168622291330
3Velez Sarsfield167721812628
3Argentinos Juniors168531713429
4Rosario Central168442016428
4Talleres Cordoba167541713426
5Belgrano Cordoba167541713426
5Independiente166642420424
6Lanus166641815324
6Gimnasia La Plata168261919026
7Huracan165741713422
7San Lorenzo165741414022
8Racing Club165651715221
8Union Santa Fe165652420421
9Instituto Cordoba166371717021
9Barracas Central165651515021
10Defensa Y Justicia164751821-319
10Tigre164841815320
11Sarmiento Junin166191320-719
11Gimnasia M.165471422-819
12Banfield165381719-218
12Platense163761015-516
13Atletico Tucuman163581520-514
13Central Cordoba de Santiago164481121-1016
14Newells Old Boys163671527-1215
14Aldosivi16088619-138
15Deportivo Riestra16187512-711
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213524-195