Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.39

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66

Draw3.98

Away4.98

Market move since Sep 8. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Burgos are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 8, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Burgos and AD Ceuta FC meet in the Spanish second tier on 11 September with Under 3.5 goals priced at 1.39, and Superior's model puts the line at 60 percent. Between them these two sides are averaging under two goals a game this season, and Ceuta have been held to two or fewer in four of their last five matches.

Two sides that do not find the net often

Burgos are scoring at barely a goal a game and Ceuta not much better, and only one of the ten combined matches in their last five apiece produced more than three goals in total. Ceuta's away form has been especially thin, with three shutout defeats in their last five on the road.

The one recent match that says otherwise

Burgos did concede three goals in their most recent home defeat, and if Ceuta's attack finds a similar gap here while also conceding at their usual rate, four goals combined is within reach. That single result is the exception the model is betting against, not the pattern.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.93

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC

Head to Head

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 1, 2026	Burgos	1 - 1	AD Ceuta FC
November 29, 2025	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 0	Burgos

League Table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	4	3	1	0	5	1	+4	10
2	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	+3	9
3	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	+2	8
4	Girona	4	2	1	1	9	5	+4	7
5	Celta de Vigo II	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
6	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	+3	7
7	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	+2	7
8	Granada CF	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
9	Las Palmas	4	2	1	1	6	6	0	7
10	Sporting Gijon	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	7
11	Almeria	4	2	0	2	6	4	+2	6
12	Sabadell	3	1	2	0	1	0	+1	5
13	Real Sociedad II	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
14	Burgos	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	0	5
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	-2	4
17	Andorra	4	1	0	3	7	7	0	3
18	Cadiz	4	0	3	1	5	6	-1	3
19	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	5	7	-2	3
20	Eldense	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
21	Albacete	4	0	0	4	2	7	-5	0
22	FC Andorra	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	AD Ceuta FC	4	0	0	4	1	12	-11	0

Relegation

Segunda Division - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Castellón	4	3	1	0	5	1	4	10
2	Eibar	4	3	0	1	6	3	3	9
3	Leganes	4	2	2	0	3	1	2	8
4	Girona	4	2	1	1	9	5	4	7
5	Celta de Vigo II	4	2	1	1	7	4	3	7
6	Mallorca	4	2	1	1	5	2	3	7
7	Tenerife	4	2	1	1	5	3	2	7
8	Granada CF	4	2	1	1	5	4	1	7
9	Las Palmas	4	2	1	1	6	6	0	7
10	Sporting Gijon	4	2	1	1	2	2	0	7
11	Almeria	4	2	0	2	6	4	2	6
12	Sabadell	3	1	2	0	1	0	1	5
13	Real Sociedad II	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
14	Burgos	4	1	2	1	5	5	0	5
15	Oviedo	4	1	2	1	1	1	0	5
16	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	2	4	-2	4
17	Andorra	4	1	0	3	7	7	0	3
18	Cadiz	4	0	3	1	5	6	-1	3
19	Cordoba	3	1	0	2	5	7	-2	3
20	Eldense	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
21	Albacete	4	0	0	4	2	7	-5	0
22	FC Andorra	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	AD Ceuta FC	4	0	0	4	1	12	-11	0