Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction - September 10, 2026

Major League SoccerUSAFull time
Los Angeles FC
2:0
New York Red Bulls
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Match Winner: Home1.55Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.39price falling, opened at 1.51
Draw5.35price rising, opened at 4.78
Away6.75price rising, opened at 5.50

Market move since Sep 7. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06price falling, opened at 1.08
Under 1.56.25price rising, opened at 5.45
Over 2.51.30price falling, opened at 1.37
Under 2.52.99price rising, opened at 2.68
Over 3.51.88price falling, opened at 2.06
Under 3.51.93price rising, opened at 1.76
Both teams to score
Yes1.49price falling, opened at 1.51
No2.44price rising, opened at 2.39
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -1.51.98
Away +1.51.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Los Angeles FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

LAFC haven't won any of their last five matches, yet Superior still backs them to beat New York Red Bulls at 1.55 for the 10 September Major League Soccer meeting, pricing the pick at 74 percent. The 1.55 price needs about 65 percent to break even, a real gap in the model's favor, and it rests on New York's form being even worse, with no win in five either.

Neither side has won since mid-August

LAFC's run is three draws and two losses; Red Bulls have matched that with three draws and two losses of their own, including a 1-3 home defeat. There's no head-to-head history between these two clubs, so recent form is the only real evidence on the table, and it says this could easily finish level. Superior's case still rests on the number: a 74 percent price against a 65 percent break-even rate is a real cushion, and the model isn't backing away from it just because both sides have gone cold.

LAFC's own five-match winless run is the counter-evidence

The direct threat here is obvious: the team being backed to win hasn't won in five matches, and a repeat of Red Bulls' recent goalless draw is a live outcome. A draw beats this line outright, and that shared inability to find results is the honest reason the price sits at 1.55 rather than something shorter.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-021.1%Projected
  2. 2-016.3%Alternative
  3. 0-013.7%
  4. 1-19.4%
  5. 3-08.4%

Top five combined: 68.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLos Angeles FCxG1.54
AwayNew York Red BullsxG0.44
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
21%
16%
8.4%
3.2%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.1%
9.4%
7.3%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
2
1.4%
2.1%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 28.2%71.8% No
Over 1.5 59.1%40.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 32.1%67.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 14.1%85.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Los Angeles FC win and over 2.5 goals27.4%
Los Angeles FC win and both teams score14.4%
New York Red Bulls win and over 2.5 goals2.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals23.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Los Angeles FC or draw89.6%
New York Red Bulls or draw35.2%
Either team wins75.2%
Draw no bet: Los Angeles FC86.2%
Draw no bet: New York Red Bulls13.8%
Los Angeles FC win to nil50.4%
New York Red Bulls win to nil7.7%
Team goals
Los Angeles FC to score78.7%
New York Red Bulls to score35.9%
Los Angeles FC over 1.5 goals45.7%
New York Red Bulls over 1.5 goals7.4%
Los Angeles FC clean sheet64.1%
New York Red Bulls clean sheet21.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.93

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Team news

Expected formations

Los Angeles FC: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
League Table

League Table

Major League SoccerUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12213454921+2843
12417524817+3156
22312473026+440
22312745843+1543
32211564332+1138
32410773824+1437
42310764540+537
42410774032+837
52311483729+837
52310763631+537
62310584034+635
6238874951-232
7237883631+529
72394104443+131
82477103639-328
823101123131031
92484123855-1728
9238694034+630
102376103246-1427
10228593635+129
112451183643-726
11237883437-329
12247893036-629
122351172836-826
13227692429-527
132474132840-1225
142466123439-524
142367102942-1325
152343162358-3515
152457123048-1822
Major League Soccer - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Vancouver Whitecaps22134549212843DDLWL
1Nashville SC24175248173156DLWWW
2Houston Dynamo2312473026440WWDDW
2Inter Miami23127458431543DWWWW
3Chicago Fire22115643321138WLLWW
3Los Angeles FC24107738241437DWWWW
4FC Dallas2310764540537DLDWW
4Charlotte2410774032837LWDWW
5New England Revolution2311483729837DWDLW
5St. Louis City2310763631537DWWWW
6San Jose Earthquakes2310584034635LDLWL
6FC Cincinnati238874951-232WLWWD
7New York City FC237883631529DWWLD
7Portland Timbers2394104443131WWDWL
8Philadelphia Union2477103639-328WWWLD
8Colorado Rapids23101123131031WLWLL
9Orlando City SC2484123855-1728LWWLD
9San Diego238694034630DWLLD
10New York Red Bulls2376103246-1427WLLWD
10Real Salt Lake228593635129DLLDW
11Toronto FC2451183643-726DLDDL
11Minnesota United FC237883437-329DDLDL
12Los Angeles Galaxy247893036-629DDLLD
12DC United2351172836-826DWDDD
13Seattle Sounders227692429-527LLLLL
13Atlanta United FC2474132840-1225LLDLL
14Columbus Crew2466123439-524DWLWD
14Austin2367102942-1325LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas City2343162358-3515LLWLL
15CF Montreal2457123048-1822DLLDD