Torino vs Monza Prediction - 1 September 2026

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

80%Odds 1.40Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Monza · last 5 games

Form

Torino

L 1-2
L 1-2
W 1-0
D 1-1
W 1-0

Monza

L 2-3
L 1-4
W 3-0
D 3-3
L 1-3

Bookmaker odds

Home1.89

Draw3.38

Away4.08

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.29

Under 1.53.40

Over 2.52.11

Under 2.51.73

Over 3.53.42

Under 3.51.29

Both teams to score

Yes1.80

No1.95

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -0.251.69

Away +0.252.18

Methodology

Match analysis

Monza's average of 2.0 goals a game is more than double Torino's own 0.8, yet Superior still projects a tight scoreline when the two meet in the Coppa Italia on 1 September. The model backs a 1-1 draw, with 1-2 the alternate score.

Monza are averaging exactly double Torino's goals scored per game

That 2.0 to 0.8 split reflects a Monza side capable of heavier scorelines, including a 3-0 and a 3-3 in their last five, against a Torino team that wins by scraping single-goal margins, 1-0 twice at home in their own recent run. The one previous meeting between these two, a 2-0 Torino win away from this ground, is too small a sample to call a pattern, though it does show Torino can be the tighter, more controlled side even away from home.

Monza's attack has produced two three-goal outings this run

A 3-0 win and a 3-3 draw both sit in Monza's recent form, exactly the kind of scoreline that would beat a tight 1-1 projection if their attack travels well. LOSES IF: Monza win by two or more goals, or the match finishes level at 2-2 or higher, since either would go beyond both the 1-1 draw and the 1-2 alternate Superior has projected.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Over 1.5Lost1.40

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.2%Our score
1-29.1%Alternative
0-18.2%
2-17.6%
1-06.8%

Top five combined: 42.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTorinoxG1.36

AwayMonzaxG1.63

5.0%

6.8%

4.7%

2.1%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

8.2%

11%

7.6%

3.4%

1.2%

0.3%

<0.1%

6.7%

9.1%

6.2%

2.8%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.6%

4.9%

3.4%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.5%

2.0%

1.4%

0.6%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.5%

0.7%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.7%40.3% No

Over 1.5 79.9%20.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 57.4%42.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 35.0%65.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Monza win and over 2.5 goals29.0%
Torino win and over 2.5 goals20.5%
Torino win and both teams score17.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.2%

Outcome markets
	Torino	Monza
Win or draw	56.1%	68.0%
Draw no bet	42.2%	57.8%
Win to nil	14.6%	20.6%
Either team wins	75.9%
Team goals
To score	74.3%	80.4%
Over 1.5 goals	39.4%	48.4%
Clean sheet	19.6%	25.7%