Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction - September 1, 2026

CupPolandFull time
Motor Lublin
3:0
Legia Warszawa
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.08price falling, opened at 4.38
Draw3.68price falling, opened at 3.74
Away1.71price rising, opened at 1.65

Market move since Aug 31. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16price falling, opened at 1.18
Under 1.54.15price rising, opened at 3.84
Over 2.51.64price falling, opened at 1.71
Under 2.52.10price rising, opened at 2.00
Over 3.52.56price falling, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.60price falling, opened at 1.68
No2.15price rising, opened at 2.02
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home +0.751.74price falling, opened at 1.81
Away -0.751.89price rising, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Legia Warszawa have not lost in three recent meetings with Motor Lublin, a run that includes two draws and a 4-0 win, and that head-to-head history sits behind Superior's projection for their Polish Cup tie on 1 September. The model projects a tight 1-1, with 0-1 the alternate score.

Legia have not lost any of the last three meetings with Motor Lublin

Two of those three games finished level, at 1-1 and 3-3, and the third ended in a 4-0 Legia win. That pattern of control without total domination lines up with Superior's tight 1-1 projection: Legia's away scoring rate of 2.2 goals a game is the stronger number on the board, but recent meetings between these two have mostly stayed close. Motor Lublin's own home form, a 1-0 win and a 1-2 loss in their last two on this ground, shows they can hold a lead when they get one.

Legia have already won one of the last three meetings by four goals

The most recent head-to-head result was not tight at all: a 4-0 Legia win shows exactly how far this fixture can get away from Motor Lublin when the visitors click, and a 5-0 win two matches back in their own league form says the finishing is there. LOSES IF: this match repeats anything like that scoreline, or finishes 2-2 or higher, since either breaks the tight 1-1/0-1 range Superior has projected here.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 0-110.0%Alternative
  3. 1-09.0%
  4. 1-28.6%
  5. 2-17.8%

Top five combined: 47.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMotor LublinxG1.25
AwayLegia WarszawaxG1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
9.0%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
10.0%
12%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
6.9%
8.6%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
3.2%
4.0%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.4%46.6% No
Over 1.5 73.8%26.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.9%51.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.0%73.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Motor Lublin win and over 2.5 goals19.2%
Motor Lublin win and both teams score15.9%
Legia Warszawa win and over 2.5 goals23.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Motor Lublin or draw60.0%
Legia Warszawa or draw66.2%
Either team wins73.8%
Draw no bet: Motor Lublin45.8%
Draw no bet: Legia Warszawa54.2%
Motor Lublin win to nil17.9%
Legia Warszawa win to nil21.5%
Team goals
Motor Lublin to score71.3%
Legia Warszawa to score74.9%
Motor Lublin over 1.5 goals35.4%
Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals40.2%
Motor Lublin clean sheet25.1%
Legia Warszawa clean sheet28.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Head to Head

Head to Head

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 23, 2026Legia Warszawa4 - 0Motor Lublin
December 1, 2025Motor Lublin1 - 1Legia Warszawa
March 10, 2025Motor Lublin3 - 3Legia Warszawa