Accrington ST vs Grimsby Prediction - September 1, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Accrington ST
2:2
Grimsby
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.30Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.51price rising, opened at 3.45
Draw3.51price rising, opened at 3.46
Away2.00price falling, opened at 2.02

Market move since Aug 30. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.50price rising, opened at 3.14
Over 2.51.97price rising, opened at 1.96
Under 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.80
Over 3.53.13price falling, opened at 3.28
Under 3.51.33price rising, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.75price falling, opened at 1.77
No2.01price rising, opened at 1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.252.10price rising, opened at 1.97
Away -0.251.74price rising, opened at 1.70

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Grimsby?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Grimsby are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Grimsby have won three of their last five games, including a 3-2 and a 2-0, and that scoring form drives Superior's projection for their trip to Accrington in League Two on 1 September. The model backs a narrow 0-1 away win, with 0-0 the alternate score.

Grimsby have won three of their last five games home and away alike

Wins by 3-2 and 2-0 sit alongside a heavier 1-3 defeat in Grimsby's recent run, giving them a scoring average of 1.4 goals a game against Accrington's 0.8. Accrington's own form has produced two draws and two losses in their last five, with a 1-0 win the only bright spot, consistent with a home side struggling to create enough to see off a team scoring at Grimsby's rate.

Accrington and Grimsby drew the last time these two met at this ground

That meeting finished 1-1, and Accrington have also held two of their last five games goalless, evidence the home side can dig in defensively even without scoring themselves. LOSES IF: Accrington score at all, or Grimsby win by two or more goals, since either result sits outside the narrow away win or scoreless outcomes Superior has projected.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-116.3%Projected
  2. 0-016.1%Alternative
  3. 1-113.3%
  4. 1-013.1%
  5. 0-28.2%

Top five combined: 67.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAccrington STxG0.81
AwayGrimsbyxG1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
16%
13%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
1
16%
13%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
2
8.2%
6.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
2.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 35.4%64.6% No
Over 1.5 54.4%45.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 27.6%72.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 11.3%88.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Accrington ST win and over 2.5 goals10.0%
Accrington ST win and both teams score8.2%
Grimsby win and over 2.5 goals14.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals29.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Accrington ST or draw60.8%
Grimsby or draw71.6%
Either team wins67.6%
Draw no bet: Accrington ST42.1%
Draw no bet: Grimsby57.9%
Accrington ST win to nil20.2%
Grimsby win to nil28.2%
Team goals
Accrington ST to score55.7%
Grimsby to score63.6%
Accrington ST over 1.5 goals19.6%
Grimsby over 1.5 goals26.8%
Accrington ST clean sheet36.4%
Grimsby clean sheet44.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Accrington ST vs Grimsby
Head to Head

Head to Head

Accrington ST vs Grimsby: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 11, 2026Grimsby1 - 0Accrington ST
August 23, 2025Accrington ST1 - 1Grimsby
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1321084+47
2321062+47
3321064+27
4321053+27
5321020+27
6320162+46
7320196+36
8312053+25
9312032+15
10312032+15
11311187+14
1100000000
1231115504
1331114404
14311124-24
1531023303
16310223-13
17310224-23
18310225-33
19302112-12
20302113-22
21302114-32
22301247-31
23300315-40
24300316-50
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barnet32108447
2Walsall32106247
3York32106427
4Colchester32105327
5Crewe32102027
6Oldham32016246
7Bristol Rovers32019636
8Tranmere Rovers31205325
9Fleetwood Town31203215
10Grimsby31203215
11Newport County31118714
11Tranmere00000000
12Cheltenham31115504
13Rotherham31114404
14Swindon Town311124-24
15Exeter City31023303
16Chesterfield310223-13
17Crawley Town310224-23
18Shrewsbury310225-33
19Northampton302112-12
20Port Vale302113-22
21Gillingham302114-32
22Accrington ST301247-31
23Salford City300315-40
24Rochdale300316-50