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Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer Prediction - 9 October 2026

1. LigTurkeyFull time
Ümraniyespor
1-1
Sarıyer

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

78%Odds 1.26Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

5/5 Under 3.5 goals Sarıyer · last 5 games

Form

Ümraniyespor
  1. W 1-0
  2. L 1-2
  3. L 0-1
  4. L 0-1
  5. D 2-2
Sarıyer
  1. W 2-1
  2. D 1-1
  3. L 0-3
  4. W 2-0
  5. W 2-1

Head to head

  1. 6 Mar 2026 Sarıyer 1 Ümraniyespor 2 TFF 1. Lig
  2. 17 Oct 2025 Ümraniyespor 1 Sarıyer 3 TFF 1. Lig

Bookmaker odds

Home2.42
Draw3.13
Away2.60
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31
Under 1.52.92
Over 2.52.05
Under 2.51.66
Over 3.53.58
Under 3.51.21
Both teams to score
Yes1.80
No1.89
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +01.77
Away +01.89
Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Ümraniyespor score 0.8 goals a game and Sarıyer 1.4, a combined 2.2 that sits well short of four, so Superior's pick for Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer on 9 October is Under 3.5 goals. It is priced at 1.26, and the model gives three goals or fewer a 78 percent chance.

Ümraniyespor lost 1-0 to Pendikspor and to Muğlaspor

Those two 1-0 defeats sit beside a 1-0 win at Bandırmaspor and a 2-1 home loss to Antalyaspor, so Ümraniyespor's games rarely build a big total. The model prices goals from each side's measured scoring and conceding on a Poisson score grid, and with Ümraniyespor's attack this quiet its forecast correct score is 1-1. Sarıyer's own last five never went beyond three goals.

Sarıyer won 3-1 at Ümraniyespor last October

That 3-1 Sarıyer win had four goals, the exact number that beats Under 3.5, and Ümraniyespor's 2-2 at Keçiörengücü on 28 August reached the same total. Sarıyer scored three times at Keçiörengücü and twice in three other recent games, so if their attack carries over and the home side answers twice, the line goes.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.26
  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.70
  • Correct score: 1-1Won6.00
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-113.8%Our score
  2. 1-011.8%Alternative
  3. 0-111.6%
  4. 0-011.1%
  5. 2-18.0%

Top five combined: 56.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeÜmraniyesporxG1.14
AwaySarıyerxG1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
11%
12%
6.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
12%
14%
8.0%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.0%
7.4%
4.3%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 46.3%53.7% No
Over 1.5 65.5%34.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 38.9%61.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.9%81.1% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Draw and under 2.5 goals24.9%
  2. Ümraniyespor win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
  3. Sarıyer win and over 2.5 goals16.5%
  4. Ümraniyespor win and both teams score14.2%
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
Outcome markets
Win or draw65.9%63.9%
Draw no bet51.5%48.5%
Win to nil21.9%20.7%
Either team wins70.2%
Team goals
To score68.2%67.0%
Over 1.5 goals31.6%29.9%
Clean sheet33.0%31.8%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.63Won
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer
League table

League table

1. LigTurkey · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
111821247+1726
211722158+723
310712209+1122
4116232219+320
510532126+618
6116051717018
7104511910+917
8114431415-116
911353168+814
10113531310+314
11112721514+113
12103431313013
1310262911-212
14102441516-110
1510244910-110
16102441219-710
1710163611-59
18112361022-129
1911128926-175
2010019322-191
1. Lig - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kayserispor118212471726
276 Iğdır Belediyespor11722158723
3Bursaspor107122091122
4Batman Petrolspor116232219320
5Mardin BB10532126618
6Antalyaspor116051717018
7Keçiörengücü104511910917
8Sarıyer114431415-116
9Bandırmaspor11353168814
10BB Bodrumspor113531310314
11Sivasspor112721514113
12Fatih Karagümrük103431313013
13Muğlaspor10262911-212
14Manisa F.K.102441516-110
15Ümraniyespor10244910-110
16Pendikspor102441219-710
17Erokspor10163611-59
18Van BB112361022-129
19İstanbulspor11128926-175
20Boluspor10019322-191