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HJK Helsinki vs Vaasan Palloseura Prediction - 8 October 2026

VeikkausliigaFinlandFull time
HJK Helsinki
6-0
Vaasan Palloseura

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

81%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score2-0Alternative1-2

Form

HJK Helsinki
  1. D 1-1
  2. D 0-0
  3. W 2-1
  4. L 0-1
  5. W 2-1
Vaasan Palloseura
  1. L 0-2
  2. L 0-1
  3. W 1-0
  4. L 0-1
  5. W 1-0

Head to head

  1. 18 Jul 2026 HJK Helsinki 2 Vaasan Palloseura 1 Veikkausliiga
  2. 22 May 2026 Vaasan Palloseura 2 HJK Helsinki 1 Veikkausliiga
  3. 5 Jul 2025 Vaasan Palloseura 0 HJK Helsinki 2 Veikkausliiga

Bookmaker odds

Home1.54price falling, opened at 1.55
Draw4.25
Away5.40price rising, opened at 5.25
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16
Under 1.54.10price falling, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.67price rising, opened at 1.65
Under 2.52.13price falling, opened at 2.15
Over 3.52.59price rising, opened at 2.56
Under 3.51.39price falling, opened at 1.40
Both teams to score
Yes1.73price rising, opened at 1.70
No2.00price falling, opened at 2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -11.88price falling, opened at 1.91
Away +11.85price rising, opened at 1.82
Methodology

Match analysis

Two goals between HJK and VPS on 8 October is the line Superior backs, Over 1.5 at 1.22. The model rates it an 81 percent chance and lands on a 2-0 HJK win, reading past a five-game spell in which HJK scored 1.0 goals a game and VPS 0.4.

HJK score 1.0 goals a game and VPS 0.4 over their last five

Put those two averages together and they sit under the line. The model treats five matches as a small sample: it builds each team's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding and pulls a thin run back toward the league baseline, which is how it still projects 2-0 for HJK vs VPS. HJK's recent wins point the same way, 2-1 against Inter Turku on 9 September and 2-1 at Ilves on 31 August, and VPS are still in the race for a European place.

VPS scored in only two of their last five

Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, and both teams have results in that range. VPS lost 1-0 at Inter Turku and 1-0 at home to Lahti, and HJK drew 0-0 at KuPS on 13 September. A one-goal game either way, the kind VPS have played three times in five, is what beats the pick.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.22
  • Correct score: 2-0Lost7.50
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-010.9%Our score
  2. 1-010.9%
  3. 2-110.5%
  4. 1-19.6%
  5. 3-07.3%

Top five combined: 49.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHJK HelsinkixG2.02
AwayVaasan PalloseuraxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.3%
11%
11%
7.3%
3.7%
1.7%
0.8%
1
4.7%
9.6%
11%
6.6%
3.0%
1.2%
0.6%
2
2.2%
4.5%
4.4%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.3%
3
0.8%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 51.3%48.7% No
Over 1.5 79.2%20.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.4%43.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.3%66.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. HJK Helsinki win and over 2.5 goals41.3%
  2. HJK Helsinki win and both teams score27.7%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals14.9%
  4. Vaasan Palloseura win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
HJK HelsinkiVaasan Palloseura
Outcome markets
Win or draw83.5%36.9%
Draw no bet79.2%20.8%
Win to nil35.4%8.0%
Either team wins79.7%
Team goals
To score86.7%59.3%
Over 1.5 goals59.8%23.2%
Clean sheet40.7%13.3%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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Formations

Confirmed formations

HJK Helsinki: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Vaasan Palloseura: 3-4-1-2(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: HJK Helsinki vs Vaasan Palloseura
League table

League table

VeikkausliigaFinland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
KuPS
2212733823+1543
2
Inter Turku
2211922916+1342
3
HJK Helsinki
2211473627+937
4
Gnistan
2210663629+736
5
AC Oulu
2210482525034
6
Vaasan Palloseura
229672922+733
7
Lahti
229582619+732
8
Turku PS
228772823+531
9
Ilves
2274113437-325
10
SJK
2247112533-819
11
FF Jaro
2236131844-2615
12
IFK Mariehamn
2235141743-2614
Relegation
Veikkausliiga - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1KuPS22127338231543WWWWW
2Inter Turku22119229161342WLDWD
3HJK Helsinki2211473627937LWWLL
4Gnistan2210663629736LWWWL
5AC Oulu2210482525034WDLLD
6Vaasan Palloseura229672922733
7Lahti229582619732WLWWW
8Turku PS228772823531WLLWL
9Ilves2274113437-325LWWLD
10SJK2247112533-819WLLLW
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615LWDWL
12IFK Mariehamn2235141743-2614