Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction - 8 October 2026
Correct score1-0Alternative3-1
Form
- W 3-1
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- L 0-2
- W 3-2
- D 0-0
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- L 0-1
Head to head
- 23 May 2026 Atletico Nacional 3 Deportes Tolima 1 Primera A
- 16 May 2026 Deportes Tolima 0 Atletico Nacional 1 Primera A
- 2 Mar 2026 Deportes Tolima 1 Atletico Nacional 0 Primera A
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima on 8 October comes out as a 1-0 home win in Superior's forecast, with 3-1 the alternative score. Tolima have failed to score in three of their last five, and they come into this game on a shorter turnaround than Nacional.
Nacional last played on 1 October, Tolima on 3 October
That recovery gap falls on the side whose attack is already the weaker one: Tolima average 0.6 goals a game against Nacional's 1.6. The model builds each side's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding with match context such as rest on top, and it settles on a narrow home win, with Nacional's 3-1 over Junior on 1 October showing the bigger margin behind it.
Nacional have won two of four meetings since August 2025
Those two wins came in May, 3-1 at home and 1-0 at Tolima. The other two were a 0-0 and a 1-0 Tolima win in March, both at Tolima, and none of the four had more than four goals.
Tolima drew 0-0, 2-2 and 1-1 in their last three
The 1-0 misses on any other score, and Tolima have been hard to beat lately even while scoring little. A 1-1 is the most likely way the forecast misses, and the March meeting shows Tolima can win this fixture outright.
More tips for this game
- Asian Handicap: Home +0.25
- Asian Handicap: Home +0
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 1-0
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 40 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +7 | 35 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +4 | 34 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +10 | 33 | ||
| 5 | 19 | +9 | 33 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +10 | 31 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +7 | 29 | ||
| 8 | 19 | 0 | 28 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 10 | 19 | +8 | 26 | ||
| 11 | 19 | +2 | 26 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -5 | 26 | ||
| 13 | 19 | +6 | 23 | ||
| 14 | 19 | -3 | 22 | ||
| 15 | 19 | -5 | 22 | ||
| 16 | 19 | -13 | 18 | ||
| 17 | 19 | -14 | 17 | ||
| 18 | 19 | -17 | 17 | ||
| 19 | 19 | -13 | 16 | ||
| 20 | 19 | -17 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 | LLLLL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | WWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 | |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 | DDWLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 | |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 | LWLLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 | LLDLW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 | DLLWL |
