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Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF Prediction - 6 October 2026

Svenska CupenSwedenFull time
Trollhättan
1-0
Mjallby AIF

Correct score1-2Alternative1-1

Form

Trollhättan
  1. W 1-0
  2. W 3-1
  3. D 1-1
  4. L 0-2
  5. D 1-1
Mjallby AIF
  1. L 0-3
  2. D 1-1
  3. D 1-1
  4. L 1-4
  5. L 0-2

Bookmaker odds

Home7.95price rising, opened at 6.75
Draw4.80price rising, opened at 4.50
Away1.29price falling, opened at 1.36
Methodology

Match analysis

Superior forecasts a 1-2 away win in Trollhättan vs Mjällby on 6 October, with 1-1 the alternative score. Mjällby come into the cup tie without a win in five matches, yet the score grid still sends them home with two goals, because Trollhättan have conceded in four of their last five matches.

Trollhättan's only clean sheet in five came at Laholm

The 1-0 win at Laholm on 1 August is the lone shutout in Trollhättan's last five. Around it they drew 1-1 at home with Ängelholms and Kristianstad, beat Stenungsund 3-1 and lost 2-0 at Eskilsminne. Superior's model builds each side's expected scoring rate from measured scoring and conceding strength and pulls a thin sample back toward its league baseline. A defence that leaks against Laholm and Kristianstad is then asked to hold an Allsvenskan attack, which is where the second Mjällby goal comes from, while Trollhättan's 1.2 goals a game keeps their own goal in the forecast.

Mjällby have scored three goals in five matches

Mjällby lost 3-0 at home to Gais on 20 September, 4-1 to IFK Göteborg and 2-0 to Djurgården, and their two draws, at AIK and Häcken, both finished 1-1. That is 0.6 goals a game, and a repeat of the 1-1 at AIK lands exactly on the alternative score. A Trollhättan win, or any Mjällby afternoon short of two goals, breaks the 1-2.

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.67
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost8.50
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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Trollhättan vs Mjallby AIF