Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W Prediction - 4 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
80%Odds 1.22
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Crystal Palace W?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Crystal Palace W are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Aston Villa and Crystal Palace Women both arrive on short rest after a crowded fortnight, and none of Villa's last five games finished with fewer than two goals. That is the case for Over 1.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Women on 4 October, Superior's pick at 1.22, with the model putting two or more goals at 80 percent.
Villa have conceded in four of their last five
Villa lost 4-0 at Tottenham and 4-1 at home to Manchester City, drew 1-1 at Brighton and at Chelsea, and won 2-0 at Nottingham Forest. Both sides score 1.0 goals a game, a combined 2.0 against a line of 1.5, and Superior's expected goals for each team come from that measured scoring and conceding. With Villa conceding most weeks, the model's most likely score is 1-1, which already clears the line.
Palace kept three clean sheets in five
Palace drew 3-3 at Birmingham, beat Watford 1-0, lost 7-0 at home to Tottenham, drew 0-0 at Arsenal and beat Everton 1-0. Three of those five ended with one goal or none, and a 1-0 or a 0-0 here loses the bet. Palace also scored once or not at all in four of the five, so an off day for Villa's attack leaves this fixture one goal short.
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +8 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +5 | 9 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +9 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 3 | +7 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 7 | 3 | +2 | 4 | ||
| 8 | 3 | -6 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 11 | 3 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 12 | 3 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -6 | 1 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12 | |
| 2 | London City Lionesses W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 3 | Tottenham Hotspur W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 7 | |
| 4 | Chelsea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 7 | |
| 5 | Everton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 6 | Arsenal W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 7 | Liverpool W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 4 | |
| 9 | West Ham United Women | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | |
| 10 | Brighton W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | |
| 11 | Aston Villa W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | |
| 12 | Birmingham City W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | |
| 13 | Manchester United W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | |
| 14 | Charlton Athletic W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |