Peñarol Montevideo vs Atletico Torque Prediction - 27 October 2026
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
Form
- D 0-0
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
- W 2-0
- L 1-2
- L 0-3
- W 1-0
Head to head
- 30 Sept 2026 Atletico Torque 1 Peñarol Montevideo 1 Primera División - Apertura
- 26 Aug 2026 Peñarol Montevideo 1 Atletico Torque 0 Copa Uruguay
- 7 Feb 2026 Peñarol Montevideo 3 Atletico Torque 1 Primera División - Apertura
Match analysis
Peñarol and Atletico Torque drew 1-1 on 30 September, and Superior's forecast when they meet again at Peñarol on 8 October is the same 1-1, with a 2-1 home win as the alternative. Torque arrive with less recovery time than Peñarol and have conceded in four of their last five, yet they score 2.2 goals a game.
Torque come in on the shorter turnaround
Both sides have a crowded fortnight behind them, and Torque have had less time to recover from it. The model sets expected goals from measured scoring and conceding with rest in the match context, and its correct score is a draw because Torque's 2.2 goals a game outscores Peñarol's 1.8 while their defence gives more back. Peñarol's own run is steady: 2-1 against Boston River, 2-1 at Cerro and 3-1 against Albion.
Peñarol won the August meeting 1-0
The 1-1 misses on any other score. Peñarol beat Torque 1-0 at home on 26 August and have won three of their last five, which is the route the 2-1 alternative carries. Torque also drew 3-3 with Atenas and beat Central Espanol 4-1 away, so a higher-scoring game is the other way out.
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63