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Penafiel vs Leça Prediction - 17 October 2026

Taça de PortugalPortugalFull time
Penafiel
0-1
Leça

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

78%Odds 1.24Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative3-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Penafiel · last 5 games

Form

Penafiel
  1. L 1-2
  2. W 2-1
  3. W 2-1
  4. W 4-1
  5. W 3-0
Leça
  1. W 2-0
  2. W 2-0
  3. W 4-1
  4. L 0-3
  5. W 2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.63
Draw3.75
Away5.02
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.53.58
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.51.99
Over 3.52.74
Under 3.51.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.75
No1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.751.73price falling, opened at 1.74
Away +0.751.89price falling, opened at 1.90
Methodology

More tips for this game

  • Away Goals: Over 0.5Won1.51
  • Corners: Under 9.5Won1.91
  • Goals: Over 1.5Lost1.24
  • Correct score: 3-2Lost17.00
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Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-19.3%Our score
  2. 2-19.3%
  3. 1-08.2%
  4. 1-27.6%
  5. 0-16.7%

Top five combined: 41.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePenafielxG1.54
AwayLeçaxG1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.2%
8.2%
6.4%
4.2%
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
1
6.7%
9.3%
9.3%
4.7%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
2
4.8%
7.6%
5.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
2.6%
3.6%
3.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.0%42.0% No
Over 1.5 80.9%19.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.3%39.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.6%63.4% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Penafiel win and over 2.5 goals30.6%
  2. Penafiel win and both teams score23.2%
  3. Leça win and over 2.5 goals22.9%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals13.5%
PenafielLeça
Outcome markets
Win or draw65.6%54.8%
Draw no bet56.8%43.2%
Win to nil22.0%15.7%
Either team wins79.6%
Team goals
To score80.0%73.8%
Over 1.5 goals49.3%40.7%
Clean sheet26.2%20.0%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Penafiel vs Leça