VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction - 11 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
81%Odds 1.23Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 4-1
- L 1-2
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- L 0-1
- D 2-2
- D 2-2
- L 1-2
- D 2-2
- L 1-4
Head to head
- 2 May 2026 Arminia Bielefeld 1 VfL Bochum 1 Bundesliga 2
- 6 Dec 2025 VfL Bochum 1 Arminia Bielefeld 0 Bundesliga 2
- 6 May 2022 VfL Bochum 2 Arminia Bielefeld 1 Bundesliga
Match analysis
Arminia Bielefeld bring a 7.6 attack rating to a Bochum defence rated 6.6, and every one of Bielefeld's last five games had three goals or more. Superior's call for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld on 11 October is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, a pick its model puts at 81%.
Bielefeld drew 2-2 three times in five games
Those draws came against Rot-Weiß Essen, Heidenheim and St. Pauli, alongside a 2-1 win at Darmstadt and a 1-4 defeat at Nürnberg. The model sets an expected scoring rate for each team from scoring and conceding strength and prices the score grid from those rates. With both sides averaging 1.6 goals a game, it lands on 1-1 as the correct score and 2-1 as the alternative, both winners here. Bochum beat VfL Osnabrück 4-1 on 2 October.
The last two meetings finished 1-0 and 1-1
A 0-0 or a 1-0 either way loses this pick, and the head-to-head has already produced one: Bochum's 1-0 home win in December 2025, followed by a 1-1 at Bielefeld in May. Bochum also lost 0-1 at home to Osnabrück in August, so a cagey meeting between these two is the clearest way this falls short.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.8%Our score
- 2-18.7%Alternative
- 1-08.6%
- 1-27.9%
- 0-17.2%
Top five combined: 44.2%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- VfL Bochum win and over 2.5 goals26.1%
- Arminia Bielefeld win and over 2.5 goals21.7%
- VfL Bochum win and both teams score20.9%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals17.4%
| VfL Bochum | Arminia Bielefeld | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.4% | 58.9% |
| Draw no bet | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Win to nil | 20.2% | 15.6% |
| Either team wins | 74.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 78.8% | 74.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 45.2% | 39.9% |
| Clean sheet | 25.8% | 21.2% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.65
Formations
Confirmed formations
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 8 | +10 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | +2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | +5 | 13 | |
| 5 | 7 | +7 | 12 | |
| 6 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | -1 | 9 | |
| 9 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | 7 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -6 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 8 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | 7 | -6 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 18 | |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 14 | |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 | |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 12 | |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 | |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 | |
| 15 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 | |
| 18 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |