Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl Prediction - 11 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
84%Odds 1.20Won
Correct score1-1Alternative3-2
Form
- L 0-1
- W 2-1
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- W 2-1
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 1-0
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Verl lost 0-2 at Hannover 96 on 3 October, one of four games in their last five to reach two goals. For Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl on 11 October, Superior has picked Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, an 84% chance in its model, which projects a 1-1.
Düsseldorf's expected scoring rate runs above their one goal a game
Düsseldorf average 1.0 goals a game and Verl 1.2, which looks thin for an Over at first sight. The model measures scoring and conceding together and checks a short run against the 3. Liga baseline, so Düsseldorf's expected rate here comes out higher than five matches alone suggest. Both the 1-1 correct score and the 3-2 alternative beat the line. Verl also beat Würzburger Kickers 2-1 and SV Meppen 2-1 at home.
Three of Düsseldorf's last five finished 0-1, 0-0 or 1-0
Any 0-0 or 1-0 either way loses this pick, and Düsseldorf have lived there: 0-1 at Alemannia Aachen, 0-0 at Fortuna Köln and 1-0 against Stuttgart II. Verl's 1-0 win at Waldhof Mannheim is the same shape. If Düsseldorf play this the way they played those three, two goals becomes a real ask.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.4%Our score
- 2-18.8%
- 1-27.7%
- 1-07.6%
- 0-16.7%
Top five combined: 41.2%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Fortuna Düsseldorf win and over 2.5 goals29.6%
- Fortuna Düsseldorf win and both teams score23.3%
- Verl win and over 2.5 goals21.5%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | Verl | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 67.2% | 56.5% |
| Draw no bet | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Win to nil | 20.2% | 14.9% |
| Either team wins | 76.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.1% | 74.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 49.2% | 40.9% |
| Clean sheet | 25.2% | 19.9% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +15 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | +13 | 19 | |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | 18 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | -1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | -2 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 8 | +4 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | +1 | 9 | |
| 18 | 8 | -6 | 9 | |
| 19 | 9 | -6 | 8 | |
| 20 | 9 | -10 | 5 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 24 | |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 19 | |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 | |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 | |
| 6 | Stuttgart II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 14 | |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 13 | |
| 8 | Waldhof Mannheim | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | |
| 9 | Preußen Münster | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 | |
| 10 | Verl | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 | FC Saarbrücken | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 | |
| 12 | Alemannia Aachen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 | |
| 13 | SV Wehen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | Fortuna Köln | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 9 | |
| 18 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 | |
| 19 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 | |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 5 |