Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction - August 30, 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Gremio
3:1
Chapecoense-sc
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.39Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.56
Draw4.12
Away5.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24
Under 1.53.38
Over 2.51.86
Under 2.51.94
Over 3.52.94
Under 3.51.31
Both teams to score
Yes1.88
No1.82
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -11.89
Away +11.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Gremio are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Gremio and Chapecoense-sc average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-014.8%Projected
  2. 1-111.9%Alternative
  3. 2-011.3%
  4. 0-09.7%
  5. 2-19.1%

Top five combined: 56.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGremioxG1.53
AwayChapecoense-scxG0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.7%
15%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.8%
12%
9.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
0.2%
2
3.1%
4.8%
3.7%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.4%56.6% No
Over 1.5 67.8%32.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 41.4%58.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 20.8%79.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Gremio win and over 2.5 goals28.4%
Gremio win and both teams score19.5%
Chapecoense-sc win and over 2.5 goals8.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Gremio or draw80.3%
Chapecoense-sc or draw45.5%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Gremio73.5%
Draw no bet: Chapecoense-sc26.5%
Gremio win to nil35.0%
Chapecoense-sc win to nil12.0%
Team goals
Gremio to score78.4%
Chapecoense-sc to score55.3%
Gremio over 1.5 goals45.3%
Chapecoense-sc over 1.5 goals19.3%
Gremio clean sheet44.7%
Chapecoense-sc clean sheet21.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Gremio: 4-1-4-1(predicted)Chapecoense-sc: 4-3-3(predicted)
Head to Head

Head to Head

Gremio vs Chapecoense-sc: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 16, 2026Chapecoense-sc1 - 1Gremio
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12515734521+2452
22414644821+2748
32513663725+1245
42511953932+742
525101053730+740
62511683536-139
7218672730-330
72510783333037
82410683228+436
92410592925+435
10258892625+132
112486102928+130
122486103740-330
132585122437-1329
14247893436-229
152477102732-528
162467112737-1025
172467112739-1225
1825510102631-525
192558123042-1223
202428142549-2414
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Palmeiras25157345212452WLWWW
2Flamengo24146448212748DDWWL
3Atletico Paranaense25136637251245DWWWW
4Fluminense2511953932742DDDDL
5Bahia25101053730740DDDWW
6Cruzeiro FC2511683536-139
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Coritiba2510783333037LDLLW
8Atletico-MG2410683228436WDWLW
9RB Bragantino2410592925435DDWWW
10Corinthians258892625132DDWWW
11Sao Paulo2486102928130DLLDL
12Botafogo2486103740-330WDWLD
13Vitoria2585122437-1329LLDWL
14Santos247893436-229DLWLL
15Gremio2477102732-528DLLWD
16Mirassol2467112737-1025WDWLW
17Vasco DA Gama2467112739-1225DLLLL
18Internacional25510102631-525DLLLL
19Remo2558123042-1223LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2428142549-2414
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210