Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense Prediction - August 30, 2026

Serie ABrazilFull time
Atletico Paranaense
3:3
Fluminense
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.24Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.24price rising, opened at 2.17
Draw3.18price falling, opened at 3.20
Away3.42price falling, opened at 3.56

Market move since Aug 27. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price rising, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.71price falling, opened at 2.76
Over 2.52.31price rising, opened at 2.27
Under 2.51.61price falling, opened at 1.63
Over 3.54.15price rising, opened at 4.05
Under 3.51.16price falling, opened at 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.92
No1.78price falling, opened at 1.79
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.84
Away +0.251.90price falling, opened at 1.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fluminense are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.3%Projected
  2. 1-09.9%Alternative
  3. 2-19.6%
  4. 2-08.4%
  5. 0-16.6%

Top five combined: 45.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico ParanaensexG1.71
AwayFluminensexG1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
9.9%
8.4%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
0.3%
1
6.6%
11%
9.6%
5.5%
2.4%
0.8%
0.3%
2
3.7%
6.4%
5.5%
3.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
3
1.4%
2.4%
2.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.8%44.2% No
Over 1.5 77.8%22.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 54.4%45.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 32.1%67.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico Paranaense win and over 2.5 goals32.5%
Atletico Paranaense win and both teams score24.6%
Fluminense win and over 2.5 goals15.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atletico Paranaense or draw74.6%
Fluminense or draw49.2%
Either team wins76.1%
Draw no bet: Atletico Paranaense66.7%
Draw no bet: Fluminense33.3%
Atletico Paranaense win to nil26.2%
Fluminense win to nil12.3%
Team goals
Atletico Paranaense to score82.0%
Fluminense to score68.1%
Atletico Paranaense over 1.5 goals51.1%
Fluminense over 1.5 goals31.6%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet31.9%
Fluminense clean sheet18.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Atletico Paranaense: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense
Head to Head

Head to Head

Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 15, 2026Fluminense3 - 2Atletico Paranaense
League Table

League Table

Serie ABrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12515734521+2452
22414644821+2748
32513663725+1245
42511953932+742
525101053730+740
62511683536-139
7218672730-330
72510783333037
82410683228+436
92410592925+435
10258892625+132
112486102928+130
122486103740-330
132585122437-1329
14247893436-229
152477102732-528
162467112737-1025
172467112739-1225
1825510102631-525
192558123042-1223
202428142549-2414
202017121941-2210
Relegation
Serie A - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Palmeiras25157345212452WLWWW
2Flamengo24146448212748DDWWL
3Atletico Paranaense25136637251245DWWWW
4Fluminense2511953932742DDDDL
5Bahia25101053730740DDDWW
6Cruzeiro FC2511683536-139
7Cruzeiro218672730-330WLWDW
7Coritiba2510783333037LDLLW
8Atletico-MG2410683228436WDWLW
9RB Bragantino2410592925435DDWWW
10Corinthians258892625132DDWWW
11Sao Paulo2486102928130DLLDL
12Botafogo2486103740-330WDWLD
13Vitoria2585122437-1329LLDWL
14Santos247893436-229DLWLL
15Gremio2477102732-528DLLWD
16Mirassol2467112737-1025WDWLW
17Vasco DA Gama2467112739-1225DLLLL
18Internacional25510102631-525DLLLL
19Remo2558123042-1223LWLWL
20Chapecoense-sc2428142549-2414
20Chapecoense B2017121941-2210