Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.89

Draw3.40

Away2.42

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.30

Under 1.53.48

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Over 3.53.34

Under 3.51.32

Both teams to score

Yes1.74

No2.10

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +02.05

Away +01.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fagiano Okayama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 26, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama HIGHLIGHTS | J.LeagueJ.LEAGUE InternationalUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Nagoya Grampus's defence rates 6.6 against a Fagiano Okayama attack of just 6.3, a gap behind Superior's 77 percent Under 3.5 call at 1.26 for their 29 August meeting. Fagiano's own 6.4 defence also faces a sharper 6.7 Nagoya attack, numbers that favour containment at both ends.

Both defences rate above the attack they are facing

Nagoya's 6.6 defence rating sits above Fagiano's 6.3 attack, and Fagiano's own 6.4 defence rates close to Nagoya's 6.7 attack too, a genuinely tight matchup at both ends. The season numbers back it up, a combined 1.6 goals a game between the two sides, and Fagiano have lost three of their last five without scoring more than once in any of them.

Nagoya have already played in a four-goal game this run

This line loses at four total goals, and Nagoya's 3-1 win on 22 August already got there. Fagiano's own heaviest match was a 1-3 defeat, also four goals, so a repeat of either side's outlier this run remains the live way this bet goes over.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.9%Projected
1-011.5%Alternative
0-110.0%
0-08.9%
2-18.4%

Top five combined: 51.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNagoya GrampusxG1.30

AwayFagiano OkayamaxG1.13

8.9%

12%

7.5%

3.2%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

10.0%

13%

8.4%

3.6%

1.2%

0.3%

0.1%

5.6%

7.3%

4.7%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

2.1%

2.7%

1.8%

0.8%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.6%

0.8%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.1%50.9% No

Over 1.5 69.6%30.4% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 43.6%56.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 22.6%77.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Nagoya Grampus win and over 2.5 goals21.5%

Nagoya Grampus win and both teams score16.9%

Fagiano Okayama win and over 2.5 goals16.6%

Draw and under 2.5 goals21.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Nagoya Grampus or draw67.8%

Fagiano Okayama or draw59.5%

Either team wins72.6%

Draw no bet: Nagoya Grampus55.7%

Draw no bet: Fagiano Okayama44.3%

Nagoya Grampus win to nil23.6%

Fagiano Okayama win to nil18.5%

Team goals

Nagoya Grampus to score72.7%

Fagiano Okayama to score67.5%

Nagoya Grampus over 1.5 goals37.2%

Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals31.0%

Nagoya Grampus clean sheet32.5%

Fagiano Okayama clean sheet27.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Team news

Expected formations

Nagoya Grampus: 3-4-2-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
September 13, 2025	Fagiano Okayama	0 - 1	Nagoya Grampus
May 6, 2025	Nagoya Grampus	0 - 0	Fagiano Okayama

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	+6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	+5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	+10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	+6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	+2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	+1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	+1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0

J1 League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction - August 29, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Both defences rate above the attack they are facing

Nagoya have already played in a four-goal game this run

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table