St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford Prediction - August 28, 2026

Premier DivisionIrelandFull time
St Patrick's Athl.
0:2
Waterford
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.60Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.40price rising, opened at 1.33
Draw4.80price falling, opened at 5.25
Away6.89price falling, opened at 8.00

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.13price rising, opened at 1.11
Under 1.54.50price falling, opened at 4.90
Over 2.51.53price rising, opened at 1.46
Under 2.52.23price falling, opened at 2.39
Over 3.52.45price rising, opened at 2.29
Under 3.51.53price falling, opened at 1.60
Both teams to score
Yes1.76price falling, opened at 1.77
No1.96price rising, opened at 1.95
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.81
Away +1.251.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Waterford are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.4%Projected
  2. 2-012.8%
  3. 1-110.0%Alternative
  4. 2-19.6%
  5. 3-08.1%

Top five combined: 53.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSt Patrick's Athl.xG1.90
AwayWaterfordxG0.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.0%
13%
13%
8.1%
3.9%
1.5%
0.6%
1
5.3%
10%
9.6%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
2
2.0%
3.8%
3.6%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
3
0.5%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 44.9%55.1% No
Over 1.5 74.3%25.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.5%50.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.6%72.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

St Patrick's Athl. win and over 2.5 goals38.6%
St Patrick's Athl. win and both teams score24.5%
Waterford win and over 2.5 goals6.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
St Patrick's Athl. or draw86.0%
Waterford or draw35.3%
Either team wins78.7%
Draw no bet: St Patrick's Athl.82.2%
Draw no bet: Waterford17.8%
St Patrick's Athl. win to nil40.2%
Waterford win to nil7.9%
Team goals
St Patrick's Athl. to score85.1%
Waterford to score52.8%
St Patrick's Athl. over 1.5 goals56.7%
Waterford over 1.5 goals17.3%
St Patrick's Athl. clean sheet47.2%
Waterford clean sheet14.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Waterford: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford
Head to Head

Head to Head

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 10, 2026Waterford1 - 1St Patrick's Athl.
May 8, 2026St Patrick's Athl.4 - 1Waterford
March 20, 2026Waterford0 - 2St Patrick's Athl.
October 24, 2025St Patrick's Athl.1 - 1Waterford
August 3, 2025Waterford0 - 2St Patrick's Athl.
League Table

League Table

Premier DivisionIreland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12816754627+1955
22914874525+2050
32914875034+1650
429101094645+140
52781183739-235
62971394140+134
728810103642-634
829711113948-932
929610133348-1528
102958162348-2523
Relegation
Premier Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Shamrock Rovers28167546271955DWWDW
2St Patrick's Athl.29148745252050DDDWL
3Bohemians29148750341650DWWWL
4Dundalk29101094645140DDLLL
5Shelbourne2781183739-235LWDLD
6Derry City2971394140134DLWDL
7Galway United28810103642-634DDWLL
8Waterford29711113948-932WDDWW
9Drogheda United29610133348-1528DDWLL
10Sligo Rovers2958162348-2523DDLLD