Drogheda United vs Dundalk Prediction - August 28, 2026

Premier DivisionIrelandFull time
Drogheda United
2:3
Dundalk
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.25price rising, opened at 3.00
Draw3.50price falling, opened at 3.56
Away2.11price falling, opened at 2.20

Market move since Aug 25. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.23price rising, opened at 1.18
Under 1.53.44price falling, opened at 3.90
Over 2.51.87price rising, opened at 1.74
Under 2.51.90price falling, opened at 2.05
Over 3.53.08price rising, opened at 2.76
Under 3.51.28price falling, opened at 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.68price rising, opened at 1.59
No2.06price falling, opened at 2.21
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.251.90price rising, opened at 1.82
Away -0.251.77price falling, opened at 1.84

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Dundalk are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Drogheda United and Dundalk average 4.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.
  • Drogheda United attack rating 6.7 meets a Dundalk defence rating of 6.4.
  • Dundalk attack rating 6.5 meets a Drogheda United defence rating of 6.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.3%Projected
  2. 2-18.4%Alternative
  3. 1-28.4%
  4. 1-07.6%
  5. 0-17.5%

Top five combined: 43.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeDrogheda UnitedxG1.50
AwayDundalkxG1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
7.6%
5.7%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
1
7.5%
11%
8.4%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.6%
8.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.8%
4.1%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.0%40.0% No
Over 1.5 79.8%20.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.2%42.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.8%65.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Drogheda United win and over 2.5 goals24.8%
Drogheda United win and both teams score20.5%
Dundalk win and over 2.5 goals24.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Drogheda United or draw62.5%
Dundalk or draw61.9%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Drogheda United50.4%
Draw no bet: Dundalk49.6%
Drogheda United win to nil17.6%
Dundalk win to nil17.3%
Team goals
Drogheda United to score77.6%
Dundalk to score77.3%
Drogheda United over 1.5 goals44.1%
Dundalk over 1.5 goals43.7%
Drogheda United clean sheet22.7%
Dundalk clean sheet22.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Dundalk: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Drogheda United vs Dundalk
Head to Head

Head to Head

Drogheda United vs Dundalk: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 10, 2026Dundalk1 - 2Drogheda United
May 22, 2026Drogheda United1 - 1Dundalk
February 20, 2026Dundalk1 - 1Drogheda United
League Table

League Table

Premier DivisionIreland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12816754627+1955
22914874525+2050
32914875034+1650
429101094645+140
52781183739-235
62971394140+134
728810103642-634
829711113948-932
929610133348-1528
102958162348-2523
Relegation
Premier Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Shamrock Rovers28167546271955DWWDW
2St Patrick's Athl.29148745252050DDDWL
3Bohemians29148750341650DWWWL
4Dundalk29101094645140DDLLL
5Shelbourne2781183739-235LWDLD
6Derry City2971394140134DLWDL
7Galway United28810103642-634DDWLL
8Waterford29711113948-932WDDWW
9Drogheda United29610133348-1528DDWLL
10Sligo Rovers2958162348-2523DDLLD