São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife Prediction - August 23, 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
São Bernardo
1:1
Nautico Recife
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.11
Draw2.93
Away3.28

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34
Under 1.53.00
Over 2.52.02
Under 2.51.70
Over 3.53.57
Under 3.51.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.78
No1.92
Odd/Even
Odd1.89
Even1.81
First to score
Home1.75
No goal10.00
Away2.23
Handicap
Home -0.251.82
Away +0.251.84
Corners
Over 10.51.85
Under 10.51.75

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nautico Recife are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • São Bernardo and Nautico Recife average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.3%Projected
  2. 1-08.9%Alternative
  3. 2-17.4%
  4. 0-07.0%
  5. 0-17.0%

Top five combined: 40.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSão BernardoxG1.49
AwayNautico RecifexG1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.8%
12%
8.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.3%
12%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.4%
6.5%
4.9%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.5%
2.3%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.5%49.5% No
Over 1.5 72.2%27.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.9%53.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.3%74.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

São Bernardo win and over 2.5 goals26.9%
São Bernardo win and both teams score20.3%
Nautico Recife win and over 2.5 goals14.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
São Bernardo or draw73.2%
Nautico Recife or draw52.7%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: São Bernardo63.9%
Draw no bet: Nautico Recife36.1%
São Bernardo win to nil27.0%
Nautico Recife win to nil14.6%
Team goals
São Bernardo to score77.5%
Nautico Recife to score65.2%
São Bernardo over 1.5 goals44.0%
Nautico Recife over 1.5 goals28.5%
São Bernardo clean sheet34.8%
Nautico Recife clean sheet22.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife
Head to Head

Head to Head

São Bernardo vs Nautico Recife: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 18, 2026Nautico Recife0 - 3São Bernardo
August 24, 2025São Bernardo1 - 1Nautico Recife
League Table

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12513752613+1346
22513573725+1244
32512852619+744
42512764122+1943
52511862822+641
62511683735+239
72510962823+539
82591153324+938
92510783132-137
102510692530-536
112581252319+436
12269893028+235
132581072627-134
14258893429+532
152688102928+132
162585122731-429
172577112532-728
182557132936-722
192535171842-2414
202524191652-3610
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Juventude25137526131346WLWWD
2Vila Nova25135737251244LWLLW
3Criciuma2512852619744DWWWW
4Novorizontino25127641221943WLLLW
5Fortaleza EC2511862822641WLWLW
6CRB2511683735239WWWDL
7Atletico Goianiense2510962823539WWDWL
8Sport Recife2591153324938DDDDL
9Operario-PR2510783132-137LWDWW
10Goias2510692530-536LDWDW
11Cuiaba2581252319436DLLDW
12Nautico Recife269893028235DWLLD
13Athletic Club2581072627-134DWDDL
14São Bernardo258893429532LLDDL
15Botafogo SP2688102928132LWDDW
16Avai2585122731-429LWDWL
17Ceara2577112532-728WLDDL
18Londrina2557132936-722LLDDW
19America Mineiro2535171842-2414WLDDL
20Ponte Preta2524191652-3610DLLLL