Ponte Preta vs Avai Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.24Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.59

Draw3.18

Away1.85

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.32

Under 1.52.88

Over 2.52.12

Under 2.51.68

Over 3.53.68

Under 3.51.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.93

No1.78

Odd/Even

Odd1.94

Even1.77

Handicap

Home +0.751.64

Away -0.752.02

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Avai?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Avai are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 20, 2026, 00:06 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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COM GOLAÇO SEM QUERER, AVAÍ VENCE A PONTE PRETA FORA DE CASA NA SÉRIE B | MELHORES MOMENTOSESPN BrasilUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Ponte Preta are winless in their last five matches, drawing two and losing three, and that slump supports Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick for Ponte Preta vs Avai on 23 August. The price is 1.24, and the model's read on this line sits at 71 percent, a clear lean rather than a claim of price value. Avai match them almost exactly at 1.0 goals a game of their own.

Neither side is scoring heavily right now

Ponte Preta's 5.7 defence rating is on the weaker side, but their own attack has not punished anyone either, managing a single goal in three of their last five. Avai's away form has been similarly modest, and Superior's projection combines two attacks producing about a goal a game apiece rather than either side's name.

A 2-3 loss to Operario-PR broke the low-scoring pattern

That defeat last month produced five goals on its own, more than enough to beat this line if repeated. It stands out against four other games in this stretch that stayed low-scoring, and a similarly open night, rather than a repeat of the recent stalemates, is the honest risk here.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.0%Projected
0-110.3%Alternative
1-09.1%
1-29.1%
0-08.6%

Top five combined: 49.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePonte PretaxG1.22

AwayAvaixG1.48

6.7%

8.2%

5.0%

2.0%

0.6%

0.2%

0.0%

9.9%

12%

7.4%

3.0%

0.9%

0.2%

0.1%

7.3%

9.0%

5.5%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

3.6%

4.4%

2.7%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

1.3%

1.6%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.5%45.5% No

Over 1.5 75.2%24.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 50.8%49.2% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 28.7%71.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Ponte Preta win and over 2.5 goals18.1%

Ponte Preta win and both teams score15.3%

Avai win and over 2.5 goals25.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals18.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Ponte Preta or draw56.9%

Avai or draw68.7%

Either team wins74.5%

Draw no bet: Ponte Preta42.1%

Draw no bet: Avai57.9%

Ponte Preta win to nil16.1%

Avai win to nil22.7%

Team goals

Ponte Preta to score70.6%

Avai to score77.2%

Ponte Preta over 1.5 goals34.6%

Avai over 1.5 goals43.6%

Ponte Preta clean sheet22.8%

Avai clean sheet29.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Team news

Expected formations

Ponte Preta: 4-3-2-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Ponte Preta vs Avai

Head to Head

Ponte Preta vs Avai: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 18, 2026	Avai	1 - 2	Ponte Preta

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	+13	46
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	+12	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	+7	44
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	+19	43
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	+6	41
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	+2	39
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	+5	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	+9	38
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	+4	36
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	+2	35
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	+5	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	+1	32
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	13	46	WLWWD
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	12	44	LWLLW
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	7	44	DWWWW
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	19	43	WLLLW
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	6	41	WLWLW
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	2	39	WWWDL
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	5	39	WWDWL
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	9	38	DDDDL
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37	LWDWW
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36	LDWDW
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	4	36	DLLDW
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	2	35	DWLLD
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34	DWDDL
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	5	32	LLDDL
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	1	32	LWDDW
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29	LWDWL
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28	WLDDL
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10	DLLLL

Ponte Preta vs Avai Prediction - August 23, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Avai?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Neither side is scoring heavily right now

A 2-3 loss to Operario-PR broke the low-scoring pattern

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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More Serie B Predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table