Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim Prediction - August 22, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Pacos Ferreira
1:4
Varzim
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.67price rising, opened at 2.60
Draw3.02price rising, opened at 3.00
Away2.75price rising, opened at 2.50

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 3.10
Over 2.52.22price rising, opened at 2.05
Under 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.70
Over 3.53.98price rising, opened at 3.50
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes2.02price rising, opened at 1.80
No1.74price falling, opened at 1.93
Odd/Even
Odd2.02
Even1.74
Handicap
Home +01.84
Away +01.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Varzim are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Pacos Ferreira and Varzim average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Projected
  2. 1-29.5%Alternative
  3. 0-18.4%
  4. 0-27.5%
  5. 2-16.8%

Top five combined: 42.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePacos FerreiraxG1.27
AwayVarzimxG1.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.7%
6.0%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
8.4%
11%
6.8%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
2
7.5%
9.5%
6.0%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
4.5%
5.7%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.0%
2.5%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.8%40.2% No
Over 1.5 80.8%19.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.8%41.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.4%63.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pacos Ferreira win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
Pacos Ferreira win and both teams score15.2%
Varzim win and over 2.5 goals33.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Pacos Ferreira or draw50.6%
Varzim or draw72.6%
Either team wins76.8%
Draw no bet: Pacos Ferreira35.6%
Draw no bet: Varzim64.4%
Pacos Ferreira win to nil12.1%
Varzim win to nil23.3%
Team goals
Pacos Ferreira to score71.9%
Varzim to score83.1%
Pacos Ferreira over 1.5 goals36.2%
Varzim over 1.5 goals53.1%
Pacos Ferreira clean sheet16.9%
Varzim clean sheet28.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330072+59
1330091+89
2320153+26
2321051+47
3312043+15
3320153+26
4311173+44
4312042+25
531114404
531115504
631112204
631112204
7311123-14
7311134-14
8301225-31
8310213-23
9301228-61
9301225-31
10300327-50
10301218-71
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Varzim33007259
1CF Os Belenenses33009189
2Paredes32015326
2Atlético CP32105147
3Oliveirense31204315
3AD Marco 0932015326
4Mafra31117344
4Fafe31204225
5Guimaraes B31114404
5Louletano31115504
6Vianense31112204
6Lusitano Évora 191131112204
7SC Covilha311123-14
7Leça311134-14
8Caldas301225-31
8Trofense310213-23
9Vitória de Sernache301228-61
9São João Ver301225-31
10Pacos Ferreira300327-50
10União Santarém301218-71