Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra Prediction - August 22, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Lusitano Évora 1911
2:1
Mafra
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Asian Handicap: Away -0.52.64Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.75price rising, opened at 2.61
Draw3.02price rising, opened at 2.95
Away2.67price rising, opened at 2.56

Market move since Aug 22. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.42
Under 1.52.50price rising, opened at 2.49
Over 2.52.48price rising, opened at 2.41
Under 2.51.50price rising, opened at 1.49
Over 3.54.23price falling, opened at 4.75
Under 3.51.20price rising, opened at 1.12
Both teams to score
Yes2.21price rising, opened at 2.00
No1.62price falling, opened at 1.70
Odd/Even
Odd2.02price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +01.90price rising, opened at 1.85
Away +01.90price rising, opened at 1.83

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mafra are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Mafra average 2.0 goals per match against 0.8 for Lusitano Évora 1911.
  • Mafra won 2 of their last 5 matches; Lusitano Évora 1911 won 1 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-114.8%Projected
  2. 0-212.2%
  3. 1-111.3%Alternative
  4. 1-29.3%
  5. 0-09.0%

Top five combined: 56.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLusitano Évora 1911xG0.76
AwayMafraxG1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
6.8%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
1
15%
11%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
2
12%
9.3%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
6.7%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
2.8%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.1%56.9% No
Over 1.5 69.4%30.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.4%56.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.4%77.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Lusitano Évora 1911 win and over 2.5 goals7.6%
Lusitano Évora 1911 win and both teams score6.8%
Mafra win and over 2.5 goals31.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw41.3%
Mafra or draw83.0%
Either team wins75.7%
Draw no bet: Lusitano Évora 191122.5%
Draw no bet: Mafra77.5%
Lusitano Évora 1911 win to nil10.2%
Mafra win to nil37.8%
Team goals
Lusitano Évora 1911 to score53.3%
Mafra to score80.8%
Lusitano Évora 1911 over 1.5 goals17.7%
Mafra over 1.5 goals49.2%
Lusitano Évora 1911 clean sheet19.2%
Mafra clean sheet46.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra
Head to Head

Head to Head

Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 30, 2025Mafra1 - 1Lusitano Évora 1911
August 17, 2025Lusitano Évora 19114 - 1Mafra
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330072+59
1330091+89
2320153+26
2321051+47
3312043+15
3320153+26
4311173+44
4312042+25
531114404
531115504
631112204
631112204
7311123-14
7311134-14
8301225-31
8310213-23
9301228-61
9301225-31
10300327-50
10301218-71
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Varzim33007259
1CF Os Belenenses33009189
2Paredes32015326
2Atlético CP32105147
3Oliveirense31204315
3AD Marco 0932015326
4Mafra31117344
4Fafe31204225
5Guimaraes B31114404
5Louletano31115504
6Vianense31112204
6Lusitano Évora 191131112204
7SC Covilha311123-14
7Leça311134-14
8Caldas301225-31
8Trofense310213-23
9Vitória de Sernache301228-61
9São João Ver301225-31
10Pacos Ferreira300327-50
10União Santarém301218-71