Athletic Club vs Sevilla Prediction - August 22, 2026

La LigaSpainFull time
Athletic Club
1:3
Sevilla
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77price rising, opened at 1.70
Draw3.58price falling, opened at 3.62
Away4.74price falling, opened at 5.20

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.32price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 1.53.34price rising, opened at 2.84
Over 2.52.06price falling, opened at 2.20
Under 2.51.76price rising, opened at 1.67
Over 3.53.82price falling, opened at 3.94
Under 3.51.26price rising, opened at 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes1.96price falling, opened at 2.06
No1.84price rising, opened at 1.70
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.752.00price rising, opened at 1.87
Away +0.751.81price falling, opened at 1.85

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sevilla are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Athletic Club and Sevilla average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
  • Counter signalSevilla attack rating 6.2 meets a Athletic Club defence rating of 5.8.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.2%Projected
  2. 1-110.7%Alternative
  3. 2-09.9%
  4. 2-18.7%
  5. 0-08.2%

Top five combined: 50.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAthletic ClubxG1.46
AwaySevillaxG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.3%
14%
9.9%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.5%
12%
9.1%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
3.9%
5.7%
4.1%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.2%
1.7%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.0%54.0% No
Over 1.5 68.7%31.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.7%78.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Athletic Club win and over 2.5 goals26.4%
Athletic Club win and both teams score19.1%
Sevilla win and over 2.5 goals11.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Athletic Club or draw76.5%
Sevilla or draw50.0%
Either team wins73.5%
Draw no bet: Athletic Club68.0%
Draw no bet: Sevilla32.0%
Athletic Club win to nil30.8%
Sevilla win to nil13.9%
Team goals
Athletic Club to score76.9%
Sevilla to score59.9%
Athletic Club over 1.5 goals43.0%
Sevilla over 1.5 goals23.3%
Athletic Club clean sheet40.1%
Sevilla clean sheet23.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Athletic Club vs Sevilla
Head to Head

Head to Head

Athletic Club vs Sevilla: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 24, 2026Sevilla2 - 1Athletic Club
August 17, 2025Athletic Club3 - 2Sevilla
March 16, 2025Sevilla0 - 1Athletic Club
League Table

League Table

La LigaSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13300122+109
23300102+89
3321073+47
4321051+47
5321031+27
6320165+16
7320145-16
8312053+25
931115504
1031115504
11411236-34
12310254+13
13310235-23
14310214-33
15302145-12
16402214-32
17301214-31
18301248-41
19301239-61
20301217-61
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
La Liga - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barcelona3300122109
2Real Madrid330010289
3Atletico Madrid32107347
4Alaves32105147
5Osasuna32103127
6Sevilla32016516
7Real Betis320145-16
8Deportivo La Coruna31205325
9Racing Santander31115504
10Levante31115504
11Real Sociedad411236-34
12Espanyol31025413
13Athletic Club310235-23
14Getafe310214-33
15Villarreal302145-12
16Celta Vigo402214-32
17Valencia301214-31
18Rayo Vallecano301248-41
19Elche301239-61
20Malaga301217-61