Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction - August 21, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Kashiwa Reysol
4:2
V-varen Nagasaki
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.38Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.49price falling, opened at 1.64
Draw4.24price rising, opened at 3.88
Away6.90price rising, opened at 5.35

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.54.48price rising, opened at 3.62
Over 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.82
Under 2.52.19price rising, opened at 2.00
Over 3.52.81price falling, opened at 2.85
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.71price falling, opened at 1.78
No2.14price rising, opened at 1.93
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -1.252.02
Away +1.251.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Kashiwa Reysol are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Why this prediction

  • Kashiwa Reysol and V-varen Nagasaki average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-010.1%Projected
  2. 1-110.1%Alternative
  3. 2-08.7%
  4. 2-18.7%
  5. 0-06.6%

Top five combined: 44.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKashiwa ReysolxG1.66
AwayV-varen NagasakixG0.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
12%
10.0%
5.5%
2.3%
0.8%
0.3%
1
7.0%
12%
9.6%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.3%
2
3.4%
5.6%
4.6%
2.6%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
1.1%
1.8%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 50.2%49.8% No
Over 1.5 73.8%26.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.8%51.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.0%73.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kashiwa Reysol win and over 2.5 goals31.7%
Kashiwa Reysol win and both teams score22.9%
V-varen Nagasaki win and over 2.5 goals11.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kashiwa Reysol or draw78.1%
V-varen Nagasaki or draw46.3%
Either team wins75.6%
Draw no bet: Kashiwa Reysol71.0%
Draw no bet: V-varen Nagasaki29.0%
Kashiwa Reysol win to nil30.9%
V-varen Nagasaki win to nil11.8%
Team goals
Kashiwa Reysol to score81.0%
V-varen Nagasaki to score61.9%
Kashiwa Reysol over 1.5 goals49.5%
V-varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals25.1%
Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet38.1%
V-varen Nagasaki clean sheet19.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110