FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:2-0

Goals: Under 3.51.35Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.51

Draw4.54

Away5.81

Market move since Aug 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.21

Under 1.54.48

Over 2.51.68

Under 2.52.19

Over 3.52.62

Under 3.51.49

Both teams to score

Yes1.71

No2.14

Odd/Even

Odd1.90

Even1.90

Handicap

Home -11.80

Away +12.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: FC Tokyo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 18, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

FC Tokyo and JEF United Chiba average 3.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-011.1%Projected
2-010.3%Alternative
1-19.0%
2-18.5%
0-06.6%

Top five combined: 45.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC TokyoxG2.16

AwayJEF United ChibaxG1.07

4.0%

8.5%

9.2%

6.6%

3.6%

1.5%

0.8%

4.2%

9.1%

9.9%

7.1%

3.8%

1.7%

0.8%

2.3%

4.9%

5.3%

3.8%

2.1%

0.9%

0.5%

0.8%

1.7%

1.9%

1.4%

0.7%

0.3%

0.2%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.1%41.9% No

Over 1.5 83.3%16.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 62.6%37.4% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 40.4%59.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Tokyo win and over 2.5 goals44.4%

FC Tokyo win and both teams score31.9%

JEF United Chiba win and over 2.5 goals11.4%

Draw and under 2.5 goals13.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

FC Tokyo or draw82.1%

JEF United Chiba or draw37.8%

Either team wins80.0%

Draw no bet: FC Tokyo77.7%

Draw no bet: JEF United Chiba22.3%

FC Tokyo win to nil30.3%

JEF United Chiba win to nil7.6%

Team goals

FC Tokyo to score88.5%

JEF United Chiba to score65.7%

FC Tokyo over 1.5 goals63.5%

JEF United Chiba over 1.5 goals29.0%

FC Tokyo clean sheet34.3%

JEF United Chiba clean sheet11.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Team news

Expected formations

FC Tokyo: 4-4-2(predicted)JEF United Chiba: 3-4-2-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba

Head to Head

FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 6, 2026	FC Tokyo	0 - 3	JEF United Chiba
March 18, 2026	JEF United Chiba	1 - 2	FC Tokyo

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	+6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	+5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	+10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	+6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	+2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	+1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	+1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0

J1 League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0

FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba Prediction - August 21, 2026

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What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table