Nautico Recife vs Ceara Prediction - August 19, 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
Nautico Recife
1:0
Ceara
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 3.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.43price rising, opened at 2.11
Draw2.99price rising, opened at 2.89
Away3.09price falling, opened at 3.94

Market move since Aug 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.31
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 2.92
Over 2.52.31price rising, opened at 2.09
Under 2.51.57price falling, opened at 1.70
Over 3.54.23price rising, opened at 3.42
Under 3.51.20price falling, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.82price falling, opened at 1.88
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price falling, opened at 2.00
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.72
Handicap
Home -0.252.03price rising, opened at 1.76
Away +0.251.78price falling, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Ceara?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Nautico Recife are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match analysis

Nautico Recife have drawn three of their last five matches, including a scoreless game against Criciuma, and none of the five finished with more than three goals on the board. Superior's Under 3.5 goals call for Nautico Recife vs Ceara on 19 August in Serie B is priced at 1.28 and rated a 71 percent call.

Three draws in five says everything about Nautico's ceiling

Their results this run, 1-1, 1-1, 0-0, a 2-1 win and a 1-2 loss, add up to ten goals in five matches, an average of two a game with a high of three. The single meeting between these two this season, a 1-0 win for Ceara in April, also finished well under this line.

Ceara's ratings sit softer than Nautico's at both ends

Superior grades Ceara's defence at 5.7 out of 10 and attack at 5.6, both below Nautico's matching 6.4 ratings on each side. On paper that favours the tighter, more controlled team holding the game down.

Ceara have already played two games over this line this month

Ceara lost 3-4 to Sao Bernardo and 1-3 to Cuiaba in recent weeks, seven and four goals respectively, both clearing 3.5 on their own. If that same defensive exposure travels to Recife, Nautico's own containment will not be enough to keep this under the line.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-114.1%Projected
  2. 0-011.4%Alternative
  3. 1-011.0%
  4. 2-18.5%
  5. 2-07.8%

Top five combined: 52.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNautico RecifexG1.50
AwayCearaxG1.20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.7%
10%
7.5%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.0%
12%
9.1%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.8%
7.3%
5.5%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.9%
2.9%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.4%45.6% No
Over 1.5 75.2%24.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.8%49.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 28.7%71.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Nautico Recife win and over 2.5 goals26.6%
Nautico Recife win and both teams score20.8%
Ceara win and over 2.5 goals17.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Nautico Recife or draw69.6%
Ceara or draw55.8%
Either team wins74.6%
Draw no bet: Nautico Recife59.3%
Draw no bet: Ceara40.7%
Nautico Recife win to nil23.4%
Ceara win to nil15.6%
Team goals
Nautico Recife to score77.8%
Ceara to score70.0%
Nautico Recife over 1.5 goals44.3%
Ceara over 1.5 goals33.8%
Nautico Recife clean sheet30.0%
Ceara clean sheet22.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Ceara: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Nautico Recife vs Ceara
Head to Head

Head to Head

Nautico Recife vs Ceara: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Ceara1 - 0Nautico Recife
League Table

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12513752613+1346
22513573725+1244
32512852619+744
42512764122+1943
52511862822+641
62511683735+239
72510962823+539
82591153324+938
92510783132-137
102510692530-536
112581252319+436
12269893028+235
132581072627-134
14258893429+532
152688102928+132
162585122731-429
172577112532-728
182557132936-722
192535171842-2414
202524191652-3610
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Juventude25137526131346WLWWD
2Vila Nova25135737251244LWLLW
3Criciuma2512852619744DWWWW
4Novorizontino25127641221943WLLLW
5Fortaleza EC2511862822641WLWLW
6CRB2511683735239WWWDL
7Atletico Goianiense2510962823539WWDWL
8Sport Recife2591153324938DDDDL
9Operario-PR2510783132-137LWDWW
10Goias2510692530-536LDWDW
11Cuiaba2581252319436DLLDW
12Nautico Recife269893028235DWLLD
13Athletic Club2581072627-134DWDDL
14São Bernardo258893429532LLDDL
15Botafogo SP2688102928132LWDDW
16Avai2585122731-429LWDWL
17Ceara2577112532-728WLDDL
18Londrina2557132936-722LLDDW
19America Mineiro2535171842-2414WLDDL
20Ponte Preta2524191652-3610DLLLL