Avai vs Sport Recife Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.26Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.73

Draw3.04

Away2.60

Market move since Aug 16. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.33

Under 1.52.83

Over 2.52.16

Under 2.51.66

Over 3.53.82

Under 3.51.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.84

No1.86

Odd/Even

Odd1.90

Even1.80

Handicap

Home +01.91

Away +01.82

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Avai vs Sport Recife?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 16, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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LÉO GAMALHO CRAVA, AVAÍ VIRA CONTRA SPORT E SAI DA ZONA DE REBAIXAMENTO | MELHORES MOMENTOSESPN BrasilUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Avai's defence rating sits at 6.2 out of 10, and their last five matches have produced just nine goals between both sides, never more than three in any single game. Superior backs that containment to hold with Under 3.5 goals for Avai vs Sport Recife on 19 August, a Serie B pick priced at 1.26 and rated a 77 percent call.

Avai have not been in a four-goal game all sample

Their last five results, 0-1, 0-1, 2-1, 1-1 and 2-0, add up to nine goals in total, an average of 1.8 a match with a ceiling of three. Sport Recife have been only slightly more open, with four of their own last five also landing at three goals or fewer.

Sport Recife's attack rating nearly matches Avai's defence

Sport Recife's away scoring rate sits at 1.4 goals a game, with an attack rating of 6.2 against Avai's own defence mood of 6.2, a fairly even matchup that has mostly produced controlled scorelines this month rather than end to end games.

The only meeting this season already broke this exact line

Sport Recife and Avai met in April and drew 2-2, four goals between them, the one result this pick needs to avoid. Sport Recife have shown that ceiling before, drawing 2-2 with Operario-PR last month too, so a repeat of that same shape is the clearest way this goes wrong.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-111.2%Projected
0-19.7%Alternative
1-08.1%
1-27.7%
0-06.9%

Top five combined: 43.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAvaixG1.03

AwaySport RecifexG1.35

9.3%

9.5%

4.9%

1.7%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

13%

6.6%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

8.5%

8.7%

4.5%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

3.8%

3.9%

2.0%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

1.3%

0.7%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.3%

0.4%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.5%52.5% No

Over 1.5 68.6%31.4% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 21.6%78.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Avai win and over 2.5 goals14.0%

Avai win and both teams score11.8%

Sport Recife win and over 2.5 goals23.1%

Draw and under 2.5 goals22.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Avai or draw55.8%

Sport Recife or draw71.5%

Either team wins72.6%

Draw no bet: Avai39.2%

Draw no bet: Sport Recife60.8%

Avai win to nil16.6%

Sport Recife win to nil26.6%

Team goals

Avai to score64.1%

Sport Recife to score74.1%

Avai over 1.5 goals27.4%

Sport Recife over 1.5 goals39.0%

Avai clean sheet25.9%

Sport Recife clean sheet35.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Avai vs Sport Recife

Head to Head

Avai vs Sport Recife: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 11, 2026	Sport Recife	2 - 2	Avai

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	+13	46
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	+12	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	+7	44
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	+19	43
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	+6	41
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	+2	39
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	+5	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	+9	38
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	+4	36
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	+2	35
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	+5	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	+1	32
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	13	46	WLWWD
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	12	44	LWLLW
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	7	44	DWWWW
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	19	43	WLLLW
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	6	41	WLWLW
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	2	39	WWWDL
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	5	39	WWDWL
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	9	38	DDDDL
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37	LWDWW
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36	LDWDW
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	4	36	DLLDW
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	2	35	DWLLD
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34	DWDDL
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	5	32	LLDDL
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	1	32	LWDDW
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29	LWDWL
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28	WLDDL
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10	DLLLL

Avai vs Sport Recife Prediction - August 19, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Avai vs Sport Recife?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Avai have not been in a four-goal game all sample

Sport Recife's attack rating nearly matches Avai's defence

The only meeting this season already broke this exact line

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

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Head to Head

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