NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka Prediction - August 16, 2026

HNLCroatiaFull time
NK Varazdin
2:0
HNK Rijeka
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.70price falling, opened at 3.35
Draw3.22price falling, opened at 3.24
Away2.70price rising, opened at 2.14

Market move since Aug 13. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.53.22price rising, opened at 3.08
Over 2.52.13price rising, opened at 1.96
Under 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.80
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.20
Under 3.51.25price falling, opened at 1.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.84price rising, opened at 1.75
No1.96price falling, opened at 1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home +01.90
Away +01.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: NK Varazdin are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • NK Varazdin and HNK Rijeka average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.5%Projected
  2. 0-110.7%Alternative
  3. 1-28.8%
  4. 1-07.9%
  5. 0-07.5%

Top five combined: 47.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNK VarazdinxG1.38
AwayHNK RijekaxG1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.1%
8.4%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
8.7%
12%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.2%
8.5%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.9%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 56.7%43.3% No
Over 1.5 76.9%23.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.0%47.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.8%69.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

NK Varazdin win and over 2.5 goals22.2%
NK Varazdin win and both teams score18.3%
HNK Rijeka win and over 2.5 goals23.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
NK Varazdin or draw61.6%
HNK Rijeka or draw63.7%
Either team wins74.7%
Draw no bet: NK Varazdin48.6%
Draw no bet: HNK Rijeka51.4%
NK Varazdin win to nil18.0%
HNK Rijeka win to nil19.1%
Team goals
NK Varazdin to score74.8%
HNK Rijeka to score75.9%
NK Varazdin over 1.5 goals40.0%
HNK Rijeka over 1.5 goals41.6%
NK Varazdin clean sheet24.1%
HNK Rijeka clean sheet25.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka
Head to Head

Head to Head

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 22, 2026NK Varazdin1 - 0HNK Rijeka
February 14, 2026HNK Rijeka3 - 1NK Varazdin
November 9, 2025NK Varazdin1 - 0HNK Rijeka
August 24, 2025HNK Rijeka1 - 2NK Varazdin
April 13, 2025HNK Rijeka1 - 0NK Varazdin
League Table

League Table

HNLCroatia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15401125+712
25401115+612
34310113+810
3110032+13
45311115+610
542115507
65203710-36
751221110+15
85104615-93
95104312-93
10501429-71
HNL - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1NK Osijek5401125712
2NK Varazdin5401115612
3Dinamo Zagreb4310113810
3NK Lokomotiva11003213
4HNK Hajduk Split5311115610
5HNK Rijeka42115507
6NK Lokomotiva Zagreb5203710-36
7Istra 19615122111015
8Rudes5104615-93
9NK Slaven Belupo5104312-93
10HNK Gorica501429-71