HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction - August 16, 2026
Alternative:0-1
Goals: Under 3.51.35Won
What is the prediction for HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: HNK Hajduk Split are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Four losses in their last five games have left Gorica managing 0.4 goals a game, and that scoring drought is why Superior's model backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.35 for their 16 August meeting with Hajduk Split, rating it a 74 percent play. Hajduk arrive as clear favorites at 1.81 to win away.
Eight conceded, only two scored across Gorica's last five
Gorica have lost four of their last five games, conceding eight while scoring only twice themselves, the run behind their 0.4 average. Hajduk's attack rates 6.4 in Superior's grading against a Gorica defence at 6.3, a gap of one tenth, and a team scoring this little does not need Hajduk at their sharpest to keep the total down.
The last head-to-head meeting produced four goals
Gorica and Hajduk played out a 1-3 result in October 2025, the one meeting between these sides in the last five that beat this Under 3.5 line. Hajduk have also scored five in a single game this summer, beating Zalgiris Vilnius 5-2 away. If Hajduk's finishing arrives the way it did in either of those games, this pick is the one that loses.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 1-110.3%Projected
- 0-19.7%Alternative
- 1-28.5%
- 0-28.0%
- 0-06.6%
Top five combined: 43.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
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Team news
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 12, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 - 0 | HNK Gorica |
| January 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica | 1 - 0 | HNK Hajduk Split |
| October 24, 2025 | HNK Gorica | 1 - 3 | HNK Hajduk Split |
| August 10, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 0 | HNK Gorica |
| May 11, 2025 | HNK Gorica | 1 - 1 | HNK Hajduk Split |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 12 | ||
| 2 | 5 | +6 | 12 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +8 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 1 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 5 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 5 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 5 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 5 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 9 | 5 | -9 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Osijek | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 10 | |
| 3 | NK Lokomotiva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 10 | |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 | |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 5 | |
| 8 | Rudes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 | |
| 9 | NK Slaven Belupo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |