Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons Prediction - August 15, 2026

FAW ChampionshipWalesFull time
Llantwit Major
0:1
Baglan Dragons
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.36Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.02price rising, opened at 1.96
Draw3.82price rising, opened at 3.38
Away3.21price falling, opened at 3.38

Market move since Aug 15. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.75price rising, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.77
Under 2.51.91price falling, opened at 1.92
Over 3.52.97price rising, opened at 2.88
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.64
No1.87price falling, opened at 2.08
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.87price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.78price rising, opened at 1.70
Away +0.252.04price rising, opened at 1.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Baglan Dragons are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Llantwit Major and Baglan Dragons average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-025.7%Projected
  2. 0-118.7%Alternative
  3. 1-016.2%
  4. 1-111.8%
  5. 0-26.8%

Top five combined: 79.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLlantwit MajorxG0.63
AwayBaglan DragonsxG0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
26%
16%
5.1%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
1
19%
12%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
2
6.8%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
3
1.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 24.2%75.8% No
Over 1.5 39.4%60.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 15.6%84.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 4.9%95.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Llantwit Major win and over 2.5 goals6.3%
Llantwit Major win and both teams score5.0%
Baglan Dragons win and over 2.5 goals8.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals37.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Llantwit Major or draw66.6%
Baglan Dragons or draw72.4%
Either team wins61.1%
Draw no bet: Llantwit Major45.2%
Draw no bet: Baglan Dragons54.8%
Llantwit Major win to nil22.6%
Baglan Dragons win to nil27.5%
Team goals
Llantwit Major to score46.8%
Baglan Dragons to score51.7%
Llantwit Major over 1.5 goals13.2%
Baglan Dragons over 1.5 goals16.5%
Llantwit Major clean sheet48.3%
Baglan Dragons clean sheet53.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons
Head to Head

Head to Head

Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
January 3, 2026Llantwit Major0 - 0Baglan Dragons
October 4, 2025Baglan Dragons1 - 1Llantwit Major
League Table

League Table

FAW ChampionshipWales · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15410185+1313
16501174+1315
25410141+1313
254101610+613
35401165+1112
36411158+713
45401104+612
463121514+110
56321127+511
5631255010
66321119+211
65302139+49
75311107+310
762221211+18
86231129+39
8522143+18
962131113-27
9622298+18
1062131317-47
106213515-107
11511379-24
11521237-47
11100112-10
1261141114-34
12520395+46
136114711-44
13411257-24
146114613-74
14510459-43
156024618-122
155014316-131
164004114-130
165005014-140
Relegation
FAW Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Swansea University54101851313
1Brickfield Rangers65011741315W
2Newtown AFC54101411313W
2Pontypridd Town54101610613
3Aberystwyth Town54011651112
3Bangor City 1876 FC6411158713L
4Bala Town5401104612W
4Carmarthen Town63121514110
5Mold Alexandra6321127511D
5Baglan Dragons631255010
6Porthmadog6321119211W
6Treowen Stars530213949
7Caersws5311107310D
7Trethomas Bluebirds6222121118
8Guilsfield623112939D
8Ynyshir Albions52214318
9Afan Lido62131113-27
9Rhyl62229818D
10Caerau (Ely)62131317-47
10Llanuwchllyn6213515-107L
11Holyhead Hotspur511379-24W
11Caerphilly Athletic521237-47
11Bangor 1876100112-10
12Denbigh Town61141114-34W
12Newport City52039546
13Buckley Town6114711-44L
13Cardiff Draconians411257-24
14Ruthin Town6114613-74L
14Pontardawe Town510459-43
15llanelli AFC6024618-122
15Penrhyncoch5014316-131L
16Llantwit Major4004114-130
16Gresford Athletic5005014-140L