Pontardawe Town vs Newport City Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-2

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.54Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.70

Draw3.95

Away2.23

Market move since Aug 15. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.18

Under 1.54.50

Over 2.51.50

Under 2.52.50

Over 3.52.22

Under 3.51.62

Both teams to score

Yes1.54

No2.38

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home +0.251.80

Away -0.252.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pontardawe Town vs Newport City?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Newport City are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 12, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Pontardawe Town and Newport City average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-27.5%Projected
2-26.9%Alternative
1-36.3%
1-16.0%
2-35.7%

Top five combined: 32.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePontardawe TownxG1.83

AwayNewport CityxG2.50

1.3%

2.4%

2.2%

1.3%

0.6%

0.2%

0.1%

3.3%

6.0%

5.5%

3.4%

1.5%

0.6%

0.2%

4.1%

7.5%

6.9%

4.2%

1.9%

0.7%

0.3%

3.4%

6.3%

5.7%

3.5%

1.6%

0.6%

0.2%

2.1%

3.9%

3.6%

2.2%

1.0%

0.4%

0.2%

1.1%

2.0%

1.8%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

0.1%

0.7%

1.2%

1.1%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 77.1%22.9% No

Over 1.5 93.0%7.0% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 80.7%19.3% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 62.9%37.1% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pontardawe Town win and over 2.5 goals23.7%

Pontardawe Town win and both teams score21.4%

Newport City win and over 2.5 goals45.4%

Draw and under 2.5 goals7.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Pontardawe Town or draw47.2%

Newport City or draw71.7%

Either team wins81.1%

Draw no bet: Pontardawe Town34.9%

Draw no bet: Newport City65.1%

Pontardawe Town win to nil6.9%

Newport City win to nil14.7%

Team goals

Pontardawe Town to score84.0%

Newport City to score91.8%

Pontardawe Town over 1.5 goals54.7%

Newport City over 1.5 goals71.3%

Pontardawe Town clean sheet8.2%

Newport City clean sheet16.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Pontardawe Town vs Newport City

League Table

FAW ChampionshipWales · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Swansea University	5	4	1	0	18	5	+13	13
1	Brickfield Rangers	6	5	0	1	17	4	+13	15
2	Newtown AFC	5	4	1	0	14	1	+13	13
2	Pontypridd Town	5	4	1	0	16	10	+6	13
3	Aberystwyth Town	5	4	0	1	16	5	+11	12
3	Bangor City 1876 FC	6	4	1	1	15	8	+7	13
4	Bala Town	5	4	0	1	10	4	+6	12
4	Carmarthen Town	6	3	1	2	15	14	+1	10
5	Mold Alexandra	6	3	2	1	12	7	+5	11
5	Baglan Dragons	6	3	1	2	5	5	0	10
6	Porthmadog	6	3	2	1	11	9	+2	11
6	Treowen Stars	5	3	0	2	13	9	+4	9
7	Caersws	5	3	1	1	10	7	+3	10
7	Trethomas Bluebirds	6	2	2	2	12	11	+1	8
8	Guilsfield	6	2	3	1	12	9	+3	9
8	Ynyshir Albions	5	2	2	1	4	3	+1	8
9	Afan Lido	6	2	1	3	11	13	-2	7
9	Rhyl	6	2	2	2	9	8	+1	8
10	Caerau (Ely)	6	2	1	3	13	17	-4	7
10	Llanuwchllyn	6	2	1	3	5	15	-10	7
11	Holyhead Hotspur	5	1	1	3	7	9	-2	4
11	Caerphilly Athletic	5	2	1	2	3	7	-4	7
11	Bangor 1876	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
12	Denbigh Town	6	1	1	4	11	14	-3	4
12	Newport City	5	2	0	3	9	5	+4	6
13	Buckley Town	6	1	1	4	7	11	-4	4
13	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
14	Ruthin Town	6	1	1	4	6	13	-7	4
14	Pontardawe Town	5	1	0	4	5	9	-4	3
15	llanelli AFC	6	0	2	4	6	18	-12	2
15	Penrhyncoch	5	0	1	4	3	16	-13	1
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	-13	0
16	Gresford Athletic	5	0	0	5	0	14	-14	0

Relegation

FAW Championship - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Swansea University	5	4	1	0	18	5	13	13
1	Brickfield Rangers	6	5	0	1	17	4	13	15	W
2	Newtown AFC	5	4	1	0	14	1	13	13	W
2	Pontypridd Town	5	4	1	0	16	10	6	13
3	Aberystwyth Town	5	4	0	1	16	5	11	12
3	Bangor City 1876 FC	6	4	1	1	15	8	7	13	L
4	Bala Town	5	4	0	1	10	4	6	12	W
4	Carmarthen Town	6	3	1	2	15	14	1	10
5	Mold Alexandra	6	3	2	1	12	7	5	11	D
5	Baglan Dragons	6	3	1	2	5	5	0	10
6	Porthmadog	6	3	2	1	11	9	2	11	W
6	Treowen Stars	5	3	0	2	13	9	4	9
7	Caersws	5	3	1	1	10	7	3	10	D
7	Trethomas Bluebirds	6	2	2	2	12	11	1	8
8	Guilsfield	6	2	3	1	12	9	3	9	D
8	Ynyshir Albions	5	2	2	1	4	3	1	8
9	Afan Lido	6	2	1	3	11	13	-2	7
9	Rhyl	6	2	2	2	9	8	1	8	D
10	Caerau (Ely)	6	2	1	3	13	17	-4	7
10	Llanuwchllyn	6	2	1	3	5	15	-10	7	L
11	Holyhead Hotspur	5	1	1	3	7	9	-2	4	W
11	Caerphilly Athletic	5	2	1	2	3	7	-4	7
11	Bangor 1876	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
12	Denbigh Town	6	1	1	4	11	14	-3	4	W
12	Newport City	5	2	0	3	9	5	4	6
13	Buckley Town	6	1	1	4	7	11	-4	4	L
13	Cardiff Draconians	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
14	Ruthin Town	6	1	1	4	6	13	-7	4	L
14	Pontardawe Town	5	1	0	4	5	9	-4	3
15	llanelli AFC	6	0	2	4	6	18	-12	2
15	Penrhyncoch	5	0	1	4	3	16	-13	1	L
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	-13	0
16	Gresford Athletic	5	0	0	5	0	14	-14	0	L

Pontardawe Town vs Newport City Prediction - August 15, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Pontardawe Town vs Newport City?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

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Correlated combos

More FAW Championship Predictions

League Table