Dep. San Jose vs Deportivo Amambay basketball prediction

LNB
Dep. San Jose
vs
Deportivo Amambay
Projected score
83-77
Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Dep. San Jose vs Deportivo Amambay?

Basketball: Dep. San Jose vs Deportivo Amambay (LNB). Projected 83-77. Dep. San Jose is favoured at 71%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Dep. San Jose by 6Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDep. San JoseDeportivo Amambay
Wins71%29%
By 6+61%22%
By 11+50%16%
By 16+39%12%
By 21+30%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Dep. San Jose

Season record
25-5
Points per game
87.4
Points allowed
79
Rest
5 d
  1. W113-75Deportivo Campoalto
  2. W93-76Capiata Bulls
  3. W96-53San Alfonzo
  4. W95-91Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  5. W93-75Felix Perez Cardozo

Deportivo Amambay

Season record
14-12
Points per game
81.3
Points allowed
75.3
Rest
5 d
  1. L76-79Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. L72-80Colonias Gold
  3. W81-67San Alfonzo
  4. W82-57Deportivo Campoalto
  5. W88-39Panevezys Women

Head to head

  1. Aug 10, 26Deportivo Amambay69Dep. San Jose71
  2. May 28, 26Deportivo Amambay85Dep. San Jose95
  3. May 2, 26Dep. San Jose81Deportivo Amambay74
  4. Sep 18, 25Deportivo Amambay50Dep. San Jose93
  5. Aug 27, 25Dep. San Jose98Deportivo Amambay74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology