Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights basketball prediction

MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
vs
San Juan Knights
Projected score
78-93
Home4%
Away96%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights?

Basketball: Bulacan Kuyas vs San Juan Knights (MPBL). Projected 78-93. San Juan Knights is favoured at 96%. Our projected total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: San Juan Knights by 15Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBulacan KuyasSan Juan Knights
Wins4%96%
By 6+2%86%
By 11+1%72%
By 16+1%58%
By 21+0%43%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bulacan Kuyas

Season record
7-17
Points per game
81.7
Points allowed
87.3
Rest
12 d
  1. L80-91Meycauayan
  2. L84-110Abra Weavers
  3. W110-105Pasig City
  4. L79-97Mindoro Tamaraws
  5. L82-87Valenzuela City Darkhorse

San Juan Knights

Season record
20-5
Points per game
94.2
Points allowed
79.2
Rest
7 d
  1. W74-62Mindoro Tamaraws
  2. W78-71Batangas City
  3. L64-71Binan Tatak Gel
  4. W120-77Imus Braderhood
  5. W124-75Manila Batang Quiapo

Head to head

  1. Jul 4, 25Bulacan Kuyas75San Juan Knights97

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology