Colo Colo vs Puerto Montt basketball prediction
- Score prediction
- 79-77
Match analysis
Colo Colo host Puerto Montt in LNB Chile on 6 September, and Superior's model projects a virtual coin flip, a 79-77 finish with the thinnest of home edges. That margin sits oddly against the form each side carries in: Colo Colo have lost five straight, three of them at home, while Puerto Montt have won four of their last five, twice by 20 points or more.
Colo Colo have lost three straight games at home
Colo Colo sit 7-18 this season and are averaging 76.0 points a game against 81.1 conceded, the wider gap of the two teams. Their last three home games ended 72-93, 60-61 and 70-81, all losses. Puerto Montt, despite a similar 9-17 record, arrive on a four-from-five run that includes wins by 92-72 and 88-66, pushing their own scoring rate to 78.9 a game. Both sides are fully rested, Colo Colo on 23 days off and Puerto Montt on 19, so the form gap is not about fatigue.
Puerto Montt concede more than Colo Colo do, at 83.0 a game
That number is the reason the model still gives Colo Colo the two-point scoreline edge despite the form gap. Puerto Montt's one loss in this stretch came when their offence stalled at 74 points against Valdivia, and a repeat of that low-scoring night against a rested Colo Colo defence would turn the projected coin flip into a comfortable home win rather than the away rout their recent record implies.
Form and context
Colo Colo
- Season record
- 7-19
- Points per game
- 75.7
- Points allowed
- 80.8
- Rest
- 2 d
- L67-74Puerto Montt
- L72-85Puente Alto CD
- L72-93Universidad de Concepcion
- L60-61Leones Quilpue
- L67-80Espanol de Talca
Puerto Montt
- Season record
- 10-17
- Points per game
- 78.7
- Points allowed
- 82.4
- Rest
- 2 d
- W74-67Colo Colo
- W92-72Naviera Ulloa
- W88-66Ancud
- W82-79Espanol Osorno
- L74-80Valdivia
Head to head
- 3 Sept 26Puerto Montt74Colo Colo67
Margin and totals
How big could the win be?
- Colo Colo by 2
Show the numbers
| Margin | Colo Colo | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 49% | 51% |
| By 6+ | 35% | 35% |
| By 11+ | 23% | 22% |
| By 16+ | 13% | 12% |
| By 21+ | 7% | 6% |