Valdivia vs Puente Alto CD basketball prediction

LNB
Valdivia
vs
Puente Alto CD
Correct score
89-76
Home83%
Away17%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Valdivia vs Puente Alto CD?

Basketball: Valdivia vs Puente Alto CD (LNB). We make it 89-76. Valdivia is favoured at 83%. Our predicted total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Valdivia by 13Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValdiviaPuente Alto CD
Wins83%17%
By 6+71%9%
By 11+56%4%
By 16+41%2%
By 21+27%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Valdivia

Season record
24-8
Points per game
86.4
Points allowed
75.4
Rest
12 d
  1. W89-76Ancud
  2. W83-82Espanol Osorno
  3. W90-58CD Las Ánimas
  4. W96-69CD Puerto Varas
  5. W80-74Puerto Montt

Puente Alto CD

Season record
18-12
Points per game
84.2
Points allowed
79.8
Rest
10 d
  1. L75-87Leones Quilpue
  2. L96-97Universidad de Concepcion
  3. W80-67Universidad Catolica
  4. W85-72Colo Colo
  5. W104-79Espanol de Talca

Head to head

  1. Mar 21, 26Puente Alto CD76Valdivia86
  2. Apr 13, 25Valdivia71Puente Alto CD76
  3. Apr 7, 25Puente Alto CD101Valdivia75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology