Tenerife Lenovo vs Basket Zaragoza basketball prediction

ACB
Tenerife Lenovo
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Correct score
95-89
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Tenerife Lenovo vs Basket Zaragoza?

Basketball: Tenerife Lenovo vs Basket Zaragoza (ACB). We make it 95-89. Tenerife Lenovo is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 184 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Tenerife Lenovo by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginTenerife LenovoBasket Zaragoza
Wins65%35%
By 6+50%21%
By 11+35%11%
By 16+22%5%
By 21+12%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Tenerife Lenovo

Rest
105 d
  1. L76-85Barcelona Bàsquet
  2. L89-97Barcelona Bàsquet
  3. L67-100Barcelona Bàsquet
  4. W107-95Real Madrid
  5. L83-118Real Madrid

Basket Zaragoza

Rest
120 d
  1. W95-94Breogan
  2. L86-98Valencia
  3. L90-100Murcia
  4. L83-101Manresa Baxi
  5. L74-85Granada

Head to head

  1. Mar 29, 26Tenerife Lenovo99Basket Zaragoza76
  2. Nov 23, 25Basket Zaragoza76Tenerife Lenovo84
  3. Mar 29, 25Basket Zaragoza89Tenerife Lenovo93
  4. Jan 2, 25Tenerife Lenovo106Basket Zaragoza97
  5. Feb 10, 24Basket Zaragoza100Tenerife Lenovo106

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology