Sendai 89ers vs Akita basketball prediction

B League
Sendai 89ers
vs
Akita
Correct score
88-75
Home80%
Away20%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Sendai 89ers vs Akita?

Basketball: Sendai 89ers vs Akita (B League). We make it 88-75. Sendai 89ers is favoured at 80%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Sendai 89ers by 13Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSendai 89ersAkita
Wins80%20%
By 6+69%11%
By 11+56%6%
By 16+41%3%
By 21+27%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Sendai 89ers

Rest
146 d
  1. L86-87Gunma Crane Thunders
  2. L82-83Gunma Crane Thunders
  3. L75-86Yokohama B-Corsairs
  4. W100-94Yokohama B-Corsairs
  5. W102-78Koshigaya Alphas

Akita

Rest
146 d
  1. L70-87Saga Ballooners
  2. L72-85Saga Ballooners
  3. L77-94Toyama Grouses
  4. L72-82Toyama Grouses
  5. L76-108Levanga Hokkaido

Head to head

  1. Apr 15, 26Sendai 89ers79Akita46
  2. Mar 15, 26Sendai 89ers87Akita76
  3. Mar 14, 26Sendai 89ers93Akita70
  4. Dec 10, 25Akita65Sendai 89ers92
  5. Apr 23, 25Sendai 89ers73Akita80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology